Quote: New UKmet is out also and is about the same as the cmc and the GFS taking it over the keys.
So far you got 3 taking it to the keys and 1 near Tampa.GDFL out soon bet its going to be like the last 3.
I think the biggest thing to remember, it's not like there is a giant spread between most of the models at this point. you're seeing about a 100 mile spread total at 3 days out it appears. It won't take much for any of the models to shift north or south,
Right now I'm just taking a look at a long loop of the storm, It hasn't made the northward turn, but it does appear to be stair stepping now. I suspect Tomorrow night will be when we will know.
Want to know what I think is amusing to me? The storm has been under 900 mb for 24 hours, and we're not more amazed. I think we're jaded. *grins*
-Mark
-------------------- M. S. Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Tech - May 2020
NOAA MADIS/HADS Programmer
U. Arizona PhD Student
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