The storm is moving too northerly to make landfall on the yucatan. I'm calling for it to not make official land fall. I also thing the storm is starting to pick up a little forward speed. I'm expecting a 6 - 7mph movement, probably still called NW by the NHC, but with a turn to NNW by 11pm. Wilma is just bound and determined to frustrate us.
Part of my reasoning is watching the water vapor imagry show a significant push west to east. which will help forestall any movement (much) further west. In addition, there is a channel of lower pressure that runs to the NNW of Wilma, which I think will be followed to just east of the Yucatan.
I will not make any sort of guess about what happens after that.
-Mark
-------------------- M. S. Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Tech - May 2020
NOAA MADIS/HADS Programmer
U. Arizona PhD Student
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