Boy, that eye looks quite impressive at the moment...best it's looked since it was a sinister pin hole... It does look (in spite of all conjecture) like the NE Coast of Yucatan is under the gun; Cuz. appears to be in line for the western eyewall for a sustained blasting... Not good... She appears to be moving 320 during the last hour, which is a subtle shift W after nearly 3 hours of what I would argue was probably more like 340... Too soon to tell if this is a "wobble" or not, but the trough that had induced this N tug earlier in the day is passing Wilma's longitude so....it will bee intersting to see how she responds... She may keep drifting up into the col area between major players, exhausting her current NW by slight NNW motion for a number of hours. This is actually a classic scenario that offers erratic track behavior so it is lucky for those track forecasting enthusiasts insanity that she is not taking advantage of that excuse to do so But, the night is young. The worst thing that could happen here is that she'd approach the Coast and then stall, as opposed to the incorrect track guidance of bringing her bodily island. BTW: The 0z GFS is already off and the error only grows with each additional rad/sat frame...
0 registered and 635 anonymous users are browsing this forum.
Moderator:
Forum Permissions
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
Rating:
Thread views: 70637
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center
Previous
Index
Next
Flat
Re: Vortex
Edit
Reply
Quote
But, the night is young. The worst thing that could happen here is that she'd approach the Coast and then stall, as opposed to the incorrect track guidance of bringing her bodily island. BTW: The 0z GFS is already off and the error only grows with each additional rad/sat frame...
