DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE WILMA IS CENTERED NEAR 19.5N 86.1W...OR ABOUT 80 NM SE OF COZUMEL MEXICO...AT 21/0600 UTC MOVING NW 5 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 930 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMAT4/ WTNT24 KNHC AND THE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT4/WTNT34 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.
WILMA COMPLETED AN EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLE EARLIER TODAY AND THE NEW LARGER EYE HAS A DIAMETER OF 30 NM OR SO. STRONG CONVECTION WITH CLOUD TOPS TO -80C HAS BEEN MAINTAINED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS ESPECIALLY OVER THE ERN SEMICIRCLE AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES EXCELLENT OUTFLOW TO THE N/NE OF THE SYSTEM...BUT SOMEWHAT MORE MODEST TO THE S AND NON-EXISTENT TO THE W. NUMEROUS MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 200 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLE (EXCEPT THE RAINBANDS ARE NOT PENETRATING THAT FAR INLAND OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA).
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE/ STRONG CONVECTION IN RAINBANDS ALSO EXTENDS MAINLY NE OF WILMA FROM 21N-26N BETWEEN 80W-86W...EXTENDING ACROSS CUBA...THE FLORIDA STRAITS...AND THE SE GULF.
RADAR IMAGERY FROM CANCUN SHOWS AN IMPRESSIVE CIRCULAR EYE WITH HEAVY RAINBANDS SPREADING ACROSS THE YUCATAN CHANNEL AND THE NE PART OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF QUINTANA ROO...INCLUDING AREAS SUCH AS CANCUN...COZUMEL...AND TULUM. CONDITIONS WILL ONLY WORSEN IN THESE AREAS AS THE CORE OF WILMA APPROACHES THE COAST THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
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