Quote: Definitely has a more northern component... This recent wobble north is all that's needed near the florida coast to make a ft.myers landfall a sarasota landfall.
Or a Tampa Bay landfall. While they may be wobbles... a wobble this close to land has a major impact on the damage zone. In this case, it also has a very major impact on the strength of Wilma, since it won't weaken as much if it doesn't stay over land as long - and won't weaken much at all if it does not make landfall on the mainland. The western edge of the eye is onshore... but the center has not made landfall yet. If it moves due north from the current position, Wilma will make landfall at Cancun overnight, but will immediately be back over water because it will be moving parallel to the coast.
-------------------- Hugh
Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)
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