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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Milton) , Major: 42 (Milton) Florida - Any: 42 (Milton) Major: 42 (Milton)
 


News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback

Kevin
Weather Master


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Posts: 524
Loc: EC Florida
Re: Kyle...
      Fri Oct 11 2002 08:56 AM

Don't look now, but Kyle is a TS again with winds of 45 knots. A little bit later this morning he should make landfall in SC. Look for some gusty winds and heavy rains in that area. This is by no means a life-threatening or damaging storm, but residents in the areas I mentioned above may want to keep an eye on the weather just in case.

There is a tropical wave SW of the Cape Verde Islands that has some strong convection and organization this morning. I expect this to be short lived as very intense westerlys are just ahead of the system. This one's gonna get chewed to shreads.

The SW Caribbean is where Floridians need to keep an eye out later this weekend and all of next week. All of the models (AVN, NOGAPS, UKMET) bring a broad area NW and N out of the SW Caribbean by the mid-part of next week. My thoughts on this: A TD develops by Monday morning while moving slowly towards the NW. The TD organizes into TS Marco later on Monday while still moving NW. Marco has little change in intensity on the early part of Tuesday but begins to rapidly organize into a hurricane by Tuesday night and Wednesday. Begins to move north over western Cuba by Thursday and turns NNE making landfall somewhere between Tampa and Naples by Friday. Of course, something has to develop first, but once a low pressure forms down there it will only be a matter of time.

I'll be leaving later today with my family for our trip. The weather up in the mountains looks to be clear but pretty chilly. 60's for highs and 40's for lows...that's pretty cold for central Floridians. Interesting to know we could be facing a tropical cyclone, maybe a strong one, just around the time we get home. If we get word some big storm is coming out of the Caribbean we'll be back in a hurry....but we are just going to enjoy vacation and see what happens.

Kevin

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Golly Kyle MikeCAdministrator Fri Oct 11 2002 08:56 AM
. * * Re: Golly Kyle Stuart Dave   Mon Oct 14 2002 05:07 PM
. * * Temp Tangents Bill   Mon Oct 14 2002 05:19 PM
. * * Re: Temp Tangents Steve H.   Mon Oct 14 2002 05:42 PM
. * * Re: Temp Tangents joepub1   Mon Oct 14 2002 06:10 PM
. * * Re: Temp Tangents WXMAN RICHIE   Mon Oct 14 2002 08:27 PM
. * * never cut and dry HanKFranK   Mon Oct 14 2002 05:38 PM
. * * Re: never cut and dry HanKFranK   Mon Oct 14 2002 05:39 PM
. * * Invest 95L Possibilities Ed D at HRMC   Sun Oct 13 2002 09:24 PM
. * * Hey Joe GaryC   Thu Oct 10 2002 05:47 PM
. * * Re: Golly Kyle GaryC   Thu Oct 10 2002 05:45 PM
. * * GARYC WXMAN RICHIE   Thu Oct 10 2002 09:25 PM
. * * kyle perks up a bit HanKFranK   Thu Oct 10 2002 10:11 PM
. * * Re: kyle perks up a bit joepub1   Thu Oct 10 2002 10:56 PM
. * * Kyle... Steve   Fri Oct 11 2002 01:03 AM
. * * Re: Kyle... Kevin   Fri Oct 11 2002 08:56 AM
. * * Re: Kyle... Steveunplugged   Fri Oct 11 2002 11:48 AM
. * * Re: Kyle... BabyCat   Fri Oct 11 2002 07:29 PM
. * * Re: Kyle... tom5r   Fri Oct 11 2002 12:19 PM
. * * trailer to kyle? HanKFranK   Fri Oct 11 2002 02:08 PM
. * * Time to look south joepub1   Fri Oct 11 2002 11:24 PM
. * * Re: Time to look south 57497479   Sat Oct 12 2002 08:32 AM
. * * Re: Time to look south Mary   Sat Oct 12 2002 10:12 AM
. * * Re: Time to look south 57497479   Sat Oct 12 2002 07:27 PM
. * * nhc test model runs on 95L Frank P   Sat Oct 12 2002 08:44 PM
. * * From the Cyber Cafe at Holmes Regional Ed D at HRMC   Sat Oct 12 2002 10:27 PM
. * * Re: From the Cyber Cafe at Holmes Regional Frank P   Sun Oct 13 2002 09:21 AM
. * * Re: From the Cyber Cafe at Holmes Regional LoisCane   Sun Oct 13 2002 10:44 AM
. * * Re: From the Cyber Cafe at Holmes Regional 57497479   Sun Oct 13 2002 09:56 AM
. * * ack HanKFranK   Sat Oct 12 2002 11:26 PM
. * * Re: ack recmod   Sun Oct 13 2002 09:23 AM
. * * Re: ack HanKFranK   Sun Oct 13 2002 11:36 AM
. * * Never count on a Field Goal LoisCane   Sun Oct 13 2002 02:46 PM
. * * Re: Never count on a Field Goal Hurric   Sun Oct 13 2002 09:40 PM
. * * Hurric- a reply joepub1   Sun Oct 13 2002 10:41 PM
. * * South Florida mentioned to stay alert WXMAN RICHIE   Sun Oct 13 2002 10:18 PM
. * * Re: South Florida mentioned to stay alert 57497479   Sun Oct 13 2002 10:52 PM
. * * after midnight HanKFranK   Mon Oct 14 2002 12:29 AM
. * * Re: South Florida mentioned to stay alert Steve H.   Sun Oct 13 2002 10:45 PM
. * * Re: South Florida watching after the Game:) LoisCane   Mon Oct 14 2002 01:20 AM
. * * NOTHING YET WXMAN RICHIE   Mon Oct 14 2002 05:10 AM
. * * Re: NOTHING YET joepub1   Mon Oct 14 2002 07:54 AM
. * * Runs on TD #14 garyb   Mon Oct 14 2002 09:23 AM
. * * STDS- here we go! Bill   Mon Oct 14 2002 09:23 AM
. * * Re: STDS- here we go! Mary K.   Mon Oct 14 2002 10:31 AM
. * * marco HanKFranK   Mon Oct 14 2002 10:43 AM
. * * Re: marco doug   Mon Oct 14 2002 12:13 PM
. * * Re: marco Steve H.   Mon Oct 14 2002 01:06 PM
. * * Re: marco Bill   Mon Oct 14 2002 02:04 PM
. * * Re: marco Stuart Dave   Mon Oct 14 2002 02:14 PM
. * * Re: marco Brett   Mon Oct 14 2002 03:01 PM
. * * Re: marco matty   Mon Oct 14 2002 02:24 PM
. * * Re: marco sj7611   Mon Oct 14 2002 02:34 PM
. * * TD 14 (Marco?) Justin in Miami   Mon Oct 14 2002 02:51 PM
. * * Marco??? Richie at work   Mon Oct 14 2002 02:04 PM
. * * Marco??? Richie at work   Mon Oct 14 2002 12:02 PM
. * * Re: marco Justin in Miami   Mon Oct 14 2002 11:59 AM
. * * Re: STDS- here we go! meowmix12   Mon Oct 14 2002 10:40 AM
. * * slower development anon, keith   Sun Oct 13 2002 11:54 AM
. * * Re: slower development Darcy   Sun Oct 13 2002 12:39 PM
. * * Re: slower development anon keith   Sun Oct 13 2002 01:08 PM
. * * Kyle's remnants... Steve   Sun Oct 13 2002 09:54 AM
. * * Get well soon ED... Steve   Sun Oct 13 2002 02:34 AM
. * * NOTHING YET WXMAN RICHIE   Sun Oct 13 2002 07:49 AM
. * * WEST CARIBBEAN 57497479   Sun Oct 13 2002 09:18 AM
. * * Re: nhc test model runs on 95L joepub1   Sat Oct 12 2002 10:25 PM
. * * Re: Time to look south Steve H.   Sat Oct 12 2002 10:35 AM
. * * Re: Time to look south STUART DAVE   Sat Oct 12 2002 11:11 AM
. * * kyle passes the baton HanKFranK   Sat Oct 12 2002 11:21 AM
. * * Re: kyle passes the baton Mary K.   Sat Oct 12 2002 11:42 AM
. * * Re: Time to look south WXMAN RICHIE   Sat Oct 12 2002 06:51 AM
. * * Here's the link... Steve   Fri Oct 11 2002 01:07 AM
. * * TROPICAL STORM AGAIN WXMAN RICHIE   Fri Oct 11 2002 04:43 AM
. * * Re: Golly Kyle GaryC   Thu Oct 10 2002 05:42 PM
. * * A Kyle Update VolusiaMike   Thu Oct 10 2002 05:07 PM
. * * Re: A Kyle Update bill-bo   Thu Oct 10 2002 05:25 PM
. * * Re: A Kyle Update tom5r   Thu Oct 10 2002 05:24 PM
. * * Re: A Kyle Update tom5r   Thu Oct 10 2002 05:25 PM
. * * Re: A Kyle Update tom5r   Thu Oct 10 2002 05:27 PM
. * * Re: A Kyle Update joepub1   Thu Oct 10 2002 05:43 PM
. * * Re: Golly Kyle Stuart Dave   Thu Oct 10 2002 05:03 PM
. * * Link to data Bouy Cocoa Beach   Thu Oct 10 2002 03:28 PM
. * * Re: Golly Kyle STUART DAVE   Thu Oct 10 2002 03:09 PM
. * * Re: Golly Kyle not-loged-in   Thu Oct 10 2002 03:30 PM
. * * Re: Golly Kyle VolusiaMike   Thu Oct 10 2002 01:59 PM
. * * Re: Golly Kyle GaryC   Thu Oct 10 2002 01:23 PM
. * * Re: Golly Kyle LoisCane   Thu Oct 10 2002 03:36 PM
. * * Re: Golly Kyle GaryC   Thu Oct 10 2002 01:15 PM
. * * cirrus blow off... LoisCane   Thu Oct 10 2002 12:05 PM

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