Quote: It looks to be elongating . Is this from shearing or interaction with land?
I noticed this too, I think it's a combination of shear and the squeeze play between the two high pressure areas the storm has been stuck in between for the last two days. This explains both the slow motion and excellent outflow. Now on IR image you can clearly see the western side of storm lossing it's colder cloud tops - I assume this is from interaction with the land. Hopefully this is start of the system lossing some it's power.
I was very shocked to hear the local mets forecasting a weaker storm, they almost never do that for fear of people letting down thier guard. All local info I've heard says: Cat 1, Monday afternoon landfall, near Ft. Myers, rapid NE motion across the state, right over Lake O. Effects to be very strong winds in SE quad because the hurricane force winds will be compounded by the forward speed of the storm (25+ mph). Also expect very wet conditions to the N of the track due to the interaction with the cold front coming down. I have no seen alot of info on this aspect, but people to the north should take note, your winds may be lighter but it's really going to drop alot of rain in a short period of time.
-------------------- South FL Native... experienced many tropical systems, put up the panels for: David 79 - Floyd 87 - Andrew 92 - Georges 98 - Frances 04 - Wilma 05 - Matthew 16 - Irma 17
Lost our St James City rental property to Ian 22
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