WRN CARIBBEAN... ALL THE GUIDANCE...INCLUDING ALL THE NCEP ENSMEMBERS...FORM A TROP CYC IN THE WRN CARIBBEAN ARND 24 HRS DUE TO THE INTERACTION OF THE TROPICAL WAVE WHICH SPAWNED T.S. ALPHA AND A FRONTAL ZONE EXTENDING FROM THE INCREASINGLY-NONTROPICAL CYCLONE KNOWN AS WILMA. MOVEMENT SHOULD BE SLOW TO THE NORTH AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE REMAINS TO ITS NE THROUGHOUT THE NEXT WEEK...AND A SFC HIGH TO ITS NORTH LIMITS MOTION IN THAT DIRECTION. IT IS ACKNOWLEDGED THAT THE MDLS TEND TO DVLP THESE SYS ROUGHLY A DAY TOO FAST PER COORDINATION W/TPC...BUT EITHER WAY IT IS LOOKING LIKE A CYCLONE WILL BE LURKING OFFSHORE CNTRL AMERICA AND CUBA OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS. SEE THE LATEST TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOKS FROM TPC/NHC AND LATER DISCUSSIONS FROM HPC CONCERNING THIS FEATURE.
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