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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

Margie
Senior Storm Chaser

Reged:
Posts: 1191
Loc: Twin Cities

Re: latest TWO
Wed Oct 26 2005 01:35 PM

NHC has moved floater1 to 90L, and floater2 to 91L.

While there is clear rotation and good outflow, for 90L on the visual sat images I think some of what looks to be rotation on the east, flowing to the north, is actually convection being blown off by shear.

The shear analysis indicates more favorable outflow than yesterday, and that does appear to be true, but I'm not convinced that what i am seeing on sat is the shear pattern on the analysis. It seems like at the moment, there is a little more shear than identified...that 20kt shear actually looks to be a little more to the west than indicated (the shear analysis hasn't always told the correct story this year). But overall it's in an area of lower shear, relative to other areas of the Carib, and there is warm water in the forecasted direction of drift, and we have all seen how important outflow is this season. It is forecast likely to turn west instead of heading due N, and that's good because north of 15N there is still a lot of warm water left in the Caribbean, just north of the track taken by Wilma, all the way from Cayman to just SW of Cuba's western tip.

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Katrina's Surge: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/Katrinas_surge_contents.asp

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Hurricane Wilma Damage in South Florida	MikeC	Wed Oct 26 2005 01:35 PM
Re: Hurricane Wilma Damage in South Florida	KC	Tue Oct 25 2005 05:30 PM
Re: Hurricane Wilma Damage in South Florida	trinibaje	Tue Oct 25 2005 11:43 AM
Re: Hurricane Wilma Damage in South Florida	tpratch	Tue Oct 25 2005 12:01 PM
latest TWO	Thunderbird12	Tue Oct 25 2005 12:14 PM
Re: latest TWO	typhoon_tip	Tue Oct 25 2005 12:50 PM
Re: latest TWO	ChessieStorm	Tue Oct 25 2005 02:22 PM
Re: latest TWO	typhoon_tip	Tue Oct 25 2005 03:10 PM
Re: latest TWO	Cindi	Tue Oct 25 2005 03:14 PM
Re: latest TWO	Wxwatcher2	Tue Oct 25 2005 10:02 PM
Re: latest TWO	collegemom	Tue Oct 25 2005 10:54 PM
Re: latest TWO	GoBigSurf	Tue Oct 25 2005 11:12 PM
Re: latest TWO	HanKFranK	Wed Oct 26 2005 01:24 AM
Re: latest TWO	Beaumont, TX	Wed Oct 26 2005 10:07 AM
90/91	HanKFranK	Wed Oct 26 2005 10:28 AM
Re: 90/91	Thunderbird12	Wed Oct 26 2005 11:10 AM
Re: latest TWO	Random Chaos	Wed Oct 26 2005 07:34 AM
Re: latest TWO	Thunderbird12	Wed Oct 26 2005 10:27 AM
Re: latest TWO	Margie	Wed Oct 26 2005 12:35 AM
Re: latest TWO	Beaumont, TX	Wed Oct 26 2005 09:02 AM
Re: latest TWO	typhoon_tip	Tue Oct 25 2005 03:30 PM
Re: latest TWO	typhoon_tip	Tue Oct 25 2005 04:14 PM
Re: latest TWO	damejune2	Tue Oct 25 2005 04:54 PM
Re: latest TWO	Thunderbird12	Tue Oct 25 2005 05:28 PM
Re: latest TWO	scottsvb	Tue Oct 25 2005 02:32 PM
Re: latest TWO	Random Chaos	Tue Oct 25 2005 01:47 PM
Re: latest TWO	Convergence	Tue Oct 25 2005 04:50 PM
Re: latest TWO	Margie	Tue Oct 25 2005 04:16 PM
Re: latest TWO	Beaumont, TX	Tue Oct 25 2005 09:30 PM
Re: latest TWO	satellite steve	Tue Oct 25 2005 09:46 PM
Rating storms	Bloodstar	Tue Oct 25 2005 04:51 PM
Re: Rating storms	Margie	Tue Oct 25 2005 05:01 PM
Re: latest TWO	typhoon_tip	Tue Oct 25 2005 04:25 PM
Re: latest TWO	Margie	Tue Oct 25 2005 04:45 PM
Re: latest TWO	CoalCracker	Tue Oct 25 2005 08:31 PM
Re: latest TWO	NWBroward	Tue Oct 25 2005 09:28 PM
Re: latest TWO	Beaumont, TX	Tue Oct 25 2005 09:35 PM
Re: latest TWO	Beaumont, TX	Tue Oct 25 2005 08:54 PM
Re: latest TWO	FreakedInFlorida	Tue Oct 25 2005 09:05 PM
Re: latest TWO	Thunderbird12	Tue Oct 25 2005 09:12 PM
Re: latest TWO	CoalCracker	Tue Oct 25 2005 09:26 PM
Re: latest TWO	Beaumont, TX	Tue Oct 25 2005 09:11 PM
Re: latest TWO	satellite steve	Tue Oct 25 2005 10:02 PM
Re: latest TWO	satellite steve	Tue Oct 25 2005 08:54 PM
Re: latest TWO	KC	Tue Oct 25 2005 05:46 PM
Re: latest TWO	Katie	Tue Oct 25 2005 06:12 PM
Picking up pieces	Bloodstar	Tue Oct 25 2005 06:43 PM
Re: Picking up pieces	Random Chaos	Tue Oct 25 2005 08:42 PM
New Systems?	NONAME	Tue Oct 25 2005 08:31 PM
Re: latest TWO	typhoon_tip	Tue Oct 25 2005 05:23 PM
Re: latest TWO	Clark	Wed Oct 26 2005 12:44 AM
Re: latest TWO	typhoon_tip	Wed Oct 26 2005 11:40 AM
Re: latest TWO	Storm Hunter	Wed Oct 26 2005 12:10 PM
Re: latest TWO	Margie	Wed Oct 26 2005 01:35 PM
Re: latest TWO	typhoon_tip	Wed Oct 26 2005 12:37 PM
Re: latest TWO	JMII	Wed Oct 26 2005 01:34 PM
Re: latest TWO	wiley	Wed Oct 26 2005 12:52 PM
Re: latest TWO	Margie	Wed Oct 26 2005 09:23 AM
Re: latest TWO	Storm Hunter	Tue Oct 25 2005 04:41 PM
Re: latest TWO	Margie	Tue Oct 25 2005 04:58 PM
Re: latest TWO	typhoon_tip	Tue Oct 25 2005 03:05 PM
Re: latest TWO	harmlc.ath.cx	Tue Oct 25 2005 02:12 PM
Re: latest TWO	HanKFranK	Tue Oct 25 2005 02:24 PM
Re: latest TWO	Thunderbird12	Tue Oct 25 2005 03:06 PM
Re: latest TWO	Beaumont, TX	Tue Oct 25 2005 02:32 PM
Re: latest TWO	tpratch	Tue Oct 25 2005 01:30 PM
Re: latest TWO	typhoon_tip	Tue Oct 25 2005 02:35 PM
Re: latest TWO	Ed in Va	Tue Oct 25 2005 02:49 PM
Re: latest TWO	typhoon_tip	Tue Oct 25 2005 03:26 PM
Re: latest TWO	Katie	Tue Oct 25 2005 03:02 PM
Re: latest TWO	Ed in Va	Tue Oct 25 2005 03:05 PM
Re: latest TWO	Kimster	Tue Oct 25 2005 01:46 PM

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