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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

Steve H1
Storm Tracker

Reged:
Posts: 310
Loc: Palm Bay FL USA

Re: Beta...
Fri Oct 28 2005 11:32 AM

I believe it is becoming increasingly possible that the area of disturbed weather moving through the central Caribbean now may take the ball and run into the NW Caribbean and develop, whether as its own entity or merged system with TS Beta, and become a threat north of 20N. The trough moving across the lower Mississippi valley is digging quite far south into the western GOM and seems to be in a position to pull this disturbed area and TS Beta north/north-northwestward. Beta is beginning to move a bit further north at 4 knts, and is north of the model init positions. Don't know what may come of all this, and only the Canadien makes trouble for the CONUS, but it seems that a further north solution is quite possible. If its far enuf north, it could get into the Yucatan Channel as shown in the 12z NAM. Remember yesterday the models were too strong with the ridging in the SE US, and this allowed TS Beta to come further north. If the flow remains progressive (as shown by a number of models) then anything in the NW Caribbean early next week should find a seam in the ridge to make a northward run. On the other hand, if TS Beta makes the sharp left into Nicaragua, the disturbed area may develop on its own and move to the NW. Third, Beta may hold out long enuf before making the left turn to disrupt any development of the Central Caribbean disturbance, dissipate over Nic/Hon, and allow the remnant disturbance to dissipate in the westerlies. This may be last call (we Hope) for the 2005 season, as the longer range shows (GFS) less favorable conditions north of 20N, as the westerlies bring on Fall to the east. We'll watch and see, but the Caribbean still could be trouble for the CONUS next week. Hopefully this will shut the door on what has been historic and tragic hurricane season. Cheers!!

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Tropical Storm Beta and other areas.	MikeC	Fri Oct 28 2005 11:32 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Beta and other areas.	Beach	Fri Oct 28 2005 09:42 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Beta and other areas.	wulrich	Thu Oct 27 2005 05:15 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Beta and other areas.	Margie	Thu Oct 27 2005 05:21 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Beta and other areas.	Thunderbird12	Thu Oct 27 2005 05:27 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Beta and other areas.	Margie	Thu Oct 27 2005 06:10 PM
Other areas?	danielw	Thu Oct 27 2005 08:06 PM
Beta	danielw	Thu Oct 27 2005 08:16 PM
Re: Beta	Margie	Thu Oct 27 2005 08:40 PM
Re: Beta	Clark	Thu Oct 27 2005 09:08 PM
Re: Beta	Beaumont, TX	Thu Oct 27 2005 09:00 PM
Nicaragua Population	danielw	Thu Oct 27 2005 09:40 PM
ODT	danielw	Thu Oct 27 2005 08:59 PM
Beta	danielw	Thu Oct 27 2005 09:06 PM
Re: Beta	danielw	Thu Oct 27 2005 09:15 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	damejune2	Wed Oct 26 2005 04:44 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	Thunderbird12	Wed Oct 26 2005 05:16 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	rd261	Wed Oct 26 2005 05:27 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	Thunderbird12	Wed Oct 26 2005 05:33 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	Margie	Wed Oct 26 2005 06:15 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	typhoon_tip	Wed Oct 26 2005 06:50 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	danielw	Wed Oct 26 2005 08:03 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	Thunderbird12	Wed Oct 26 2005 05:24 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	Clark	Wed Oct 26 2005 06:27 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	Margie	Wed Oct 26 2005 08:24 PM
Evening TWD Highlights	danielw	Wed Oct 26 2005 09:15 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	Thunderbird12	Wed Oct 26 2005 09:11 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	Margie	Wed Oct 26 2005 09:23 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	typhoon_tip	Wed Oct 26 2005 10:20 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	HanKFranK	Wed Oct 26 2005 09:50 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	typhoon_tip	Wed Oct 26 2005 10:41 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	Margie	Wed Oct 26 2005 10:50 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	typhoon_tip	Wed Oct 26 2005 10:56 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	Margie	Wed Oct 26 2005 11:11 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	Clark	Thu Oct 27 2005 10:32 AM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	Margie	Thu Oct 27 2005 11:08 AM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	doug	Thu Oct 27 2005 12:16 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	Margie	Thu Oct 27 2005 12:32 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	HanKFranK	Thu Oct 27 2005 01:52 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	Margie	Thu Oct 27 2005 02:36 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	Littlebit	Thu Oct 27 2005 03:57 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	damejune2	Thu Oct 27 2005 04:46 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	Clark	Thu Oct 27 2005 08:59 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	typhoon_tip	Thu Oct 27 2005 10:49 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	Old Sailor	Thu Oct 27 2005 10:56 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	typhoon_tip	Thu Oct 27 2005 11:03 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	La Nimo	Thu Oct 27 2005 11:30 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	HanKFranK	Thu Oct 27 2005 11:58 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	typhoon_tip	Fri Oct 28 2005 12:06 AM
Beta...	danielw	Fri Oct 28 2005 06:03 AM
Re: Beta...	BullitNutz	Fri Oct 28 2005 06:15 AM
Re: Beta...	danielw	Fri Oct 28 2005 06:37 AM
Re: Beta...	meranto	Fri Oct 28 2005 07:25 AM
Re: Beta...	BullitNutz	Fri Oct 28 2005 07:36 AM
Re: Beta...	Margie	Fri Oct 28 2005 07:51 AM
Re: Beta...	BullitNutz	Fri Oct 28 2005 07:55 AM
Re: Beta...	Margie	Fri Oct 28 2005 09:20 AM
Re: Beta...	Thunderbird12	Fri Oct 28 2005 09:43 AM
Re: Beta...	typhoon_tip	Fri Oct 28 2005 11:41 AM
Wilma wilma	Robert	Fri Oct 28 2005 12:34 PM
Re: Wilma wilma	Margie	Fri Oct 28 2005 12:59 PM
Re: Wilma wilma	scottsvb	Fri Oct 28 2005 12:51 PM
Re: Wilma wilma	trinibaje	Fri Oct 28 2005 02:23 PM
Re: Wilma wilma	twizted sizter	Fri Oct 28 2005 02:37 PM
Re: Wilma wilma	craigm	Fri Oct 28 2005 02:17 PM
Re: Wilma wilma	emackl	Fri Oct 28 2005 01:28 PM
Re: Wilma wilma	Thunderbird12	Fri Oct 28 2005 02:48 PM
Re: Wilma wilma	twizted sizter	Fri Oct 28 2005 02:54 PM
Re: Wilma wilma	Margie	Fri Oct 28 2005 02:59 PM
Re: Wilma wilma	Thunderbird12	Fri Oct 28 2005 03:05 PM
Re: Wilma wilma	Margie	Fri Oct 28 2005 03:11 PM
take	HanKFranK	Fri Oct 28 2005 03:35 PM
Devil's advocate	typhoon_tip	Fri Oct 28 2005 04:34 PM
Re: Devil's advocate	Margie	Fri Oct 28 2005 05:16 PM
Re: Devil's advocate	typhoon_tip	Fri Oct 28 2005 05:25 PM
Re: Devil's advocate	Margie	Fri Oct 28 2005 05:34 PM
Re: Devil's advocate	typhoon_tip	Fri Oct 28 2005 06:01 PM
Re: Devil's advocate	typhoon_tip	Fri Oct 28 2005 05:47 PM
Re: Devil's advocate	Margie	Fri Oct 28 2005 06:29 PM
More model questions	Random Chaos	Fri Oct 28 2005 06:02 PM
Re: More model questions	typhoon_tip	Fri Oct 28 2005 06:42 PM
Re: take	Old Sailor	Fri Oct 28 2005 03:43 PM
Re: take	emackl	Fri Oct 28 2005 03:41 PM
Vortex	Thunderbird12	Fri Oct 28 2005 02:58 PM
Re: Wilma wilma	scottsvb	Fri Oct 28 2005 01:54 PM
Re: Wilma wilma	JMII	Fri Oct 28 2005 12:46 PM
Re: Wilma wilma	typhoon_tip	Fri Oct 28 2005 12:44 PM
Re: Wilma wilma	typhoon_tip	Fri Oct 28 2005 12:50 PM
Re: Beta...	damejune2	Fri Oct 28 2005 12:08 PM
Re: Beta...	typhoon_tip	Fri Oct 28 2005 12:24 PM
Re: Beta...	Steve H1	Fri Oct 28 2005 11:32 AM
Re: Beta...	typhoon_tip	Fri Oct 28 2005 12:12 PM
Re: Beta...	Margie	Fri Oct 28 2005 07:15 AM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	typhoon_tip	Thu Oct 27 2005 11:38 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	Ed in Va	Thu Oct 27 2005 04:50 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	Thunderbird12	Thu Oct 27 2005 05:21 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	ralphfl	Thu Oct 27 2005 05:13 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	bobbutts	Thu Oct 27 2005 10:14 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	Storm Hunter	Thu Oct 27 2005 10:48 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	Ned	Thu Oct 27 2005 05:58 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	StPeteBill	Thu Oct 27 2005 08:03 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	Ned	Fri Oct 28 2005 06:34 AM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	GuppieGrouper	Fri Oct 28 2005 07:10 AM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	Margie	Thu Oct 27 2005 04:19 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	Bloodstar	Thu Oct 27 2005 02:34 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	Clark	Thu Oct 27 2005 11:01 AM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	typhoon_tip	Wed Oct 26 2005 11:24 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	Margie	Wed Oct 26 2005 11:34 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	danielw	Wed Oct 26 2005 11:41 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	typhoon_tip	Wed Oct 26 2005 11:48 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	danielw	Wed Oct 26 2005 11:51 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	typhoon_tip	Wed Oct 26 2005 11:56 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	Margie	Thu Oct 27 2005 12:18 AM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	typhoon_tip	Thu Oct 27 2005 12:28 AM
TD 26 and 91L	danielw	Thu Oct 27 2005 02:09 AM
Re: TD 26 and 91L	Hugh	Thu Oct 27 2005 07:00 AM
Re: TD 26	danielw	Thu Oct 27 2005 03:10 AM
Tropical Storm BETA	danielw	Thu Oct 27 2005 04:57 AM
Re: Tropical Storm BETA	Margie	Thu Oct 27 2005 08:48 AM
Re: Tropical Storm BETA	Beaumont, TX	Thu Oct 27 2005 09:07 AM
Re: Tropical Storm BETA	Thunderbird12	Thu Oct 27 2005 09:26 AM
Re: Tropical Storm BETA	Hootowl	Thu Oct 27 2005 09:57 AM
Re: Tropical Storm BETA	doug	Thu Oct 27 2005 10:14 AM
Re: Tropical Storm BETA	Thunderbird12	Thu Oct 27 2005 10:43 AM
Model Runs	danielw	Thu Oct 27 2005 12:08 AM
Re: Model Runs	typhoon_tip	Thu Oct 27 2005 12:20 AM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	danielw	Wed Oct 26 2005 11:04 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	typhoon_tip	Wed Oct 26 2005 11:17 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	Random Chaos	Wed Oct 26 2005 11:04 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	typhoon_tip	Wed Oct 26 2005 11:05 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	Random Chaos	Wed Oct 26 2005 11:07 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	Random Chaos	Wed Oct 26 2005 10:20 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	danielw	Wed Oct 26 2005 10:46 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	CoalCracker	Wed Oct 26 2005 10:45 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	danielw	Wed Oct 26 2005 09:40 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	GuppieGrouper	Wed Oct 26 2005 09:35 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	Ned	Thu Oct 27 2005 05:50 PM
Depression #26 Forms	recmod	Wed Oct 26 2005 09:35 PM
Re: Depression #26 Forms	Wait'l next year! Cubs win W S - No hurricanes	Thu Oct 27 2005 11:14 AM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	typhoon_tip	Wed Oct 26 2005 05:38 PM
Re: Watching a Few Areas in The Tropics	JMII	Wed Oct 26 2005 05:13 PM

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