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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 285 (Idalia) , Major: 285 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 285 (Idalia) Major: 285 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks
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HanKFranK
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Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
ENSO
      Sun Oct 30 2005 09:20 PM

if el nino was coming on it would have started in the summer.. just about always does. moot point that there's not going to be one this year. SOI, which is an indicator that leads ENSO has been strongly positive all october... it's just switching, but it would be camping negative for weeks on end in negative territory were the forcing for ocean warming the pacific in place. we've been en neutral to weak ENSO warm (moderate el nino in 2002, neutral in 2003, weak el nino in 2004, neutral in 2005). if anything we're due for la nina to come back around. note that even with a weak el nino circulation in 2004, we still had a very active season with multiple major hurricanes making landfall in the u.s. ENSO has to be quite strong to really affect the activity in the atlantic, especially since the AMO is cranking and ocean temperatures have been and should stay consistently above normal in much of the basin.
HF 2120z30october

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Cat II Beta Hits Nicaragua; Invest 92L Slowly Organizes Ed DunhamAdministrator Sun Oct 30 2005 09:20 PM
. * * November! Doombot!   Tue Nov 01 2005 06:34 AM
. * * Re: November! HanKFranK   Tue Nov 01 2005 06:58 AM
. * * Re: November! Lee-Delray   Tue Nov 01 2005 04:58 PM
. * * Re: November! Random Chaos   Tue Nov 01 2005 06:39 PM
. * * Re: November! Lee-Delray   Tue Nov 01 2005 06:45 PM
. * * Re: November! Tak   Tue Nov 01 2005 10:22 PM
. * * Re: November! Lee-Delray   Tue Nov 01 2005 10:30 PM
. * * Re: November! Tak   Tue Nov 01 2005 10:33 PM
. * * Re: November! *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* Lee-Delray   Tue Nov 01 2005 11:00 PM
. * * Re: November! Tak   Tue Nov 01 2005 11:12 PM
. * * Re: November! Margie   Wed Nov 02 2005 04:39 PM
. * * Re: November! Scrappy   Wed Nov 02 2005 10:12 PM
. * * Re: November! Margie   Thu Nov 03 2005 11:15 PM
. * * Re: November! NONAME   Thu Nov 03 2005 11:53 PM
. * * Re: November! NONAME   Thu Nov 03 2005 11:57 PM
. * * Re: November! NONAME   Wed Nov 02 2005 12:16 PM
. * * Re: November! Random Chaos   Wed Nov 02 2005 12:14 PM
. * * Re: Cat II Beta Hits Nicaragua; Invest 92L Slowly Organizes Margie   Sun Oct 30 2005 06:17 PM
. * * Re: Cat II Beta Hits Nicaragua; Invest 92L Slowly Organizes Old Sailor   Tue Nov 01 2005 12:30 AM
. * * Re: Cat II Beta Hits Nicaragua; Invest 92L Slowly Organizes SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Tue Nov 01 2005 01:17 AM
. * * Re: Cat II Beta Hits Nicaragua; Invest 92L Slowly Organizes Beaumont, TX   Tue Nov 01 2005 02:14 AM
. * * Re: Cat II Beta Hits Nicaragua; Invest 92L Slowly Organizes Lee-Delray   Tue Nov 01 2005 06:46 PM
. * * Re: Cat II Beta Hits Nicaragua; Invest 92L Slowly Organizes scottsvb   Tue Nov 01 2005 06:51 PM
. * * Re: Cat II Beta Hits Nicaragua; Invest 92L Slowly Organizes HanKFranK   Tue Nov 01 2005 10:42 PM
. * * Re: Cat II Beta Hits Nicaragua; Invest 92L Slowly Organizes damejune2   Sun Oct 30 2005 07:38 PM
. * * Re: Cat II Beta Hits Nicaragua; Invest 92L Slowly Organizes *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* the young weatherman   Sun Oct 30 2005 07:45 PM
. * * ENSO HanKFranK   Sun Oct 30 2005 09:20 PM
. * * 92L Bloodstar   Sun Oct 30 2005 10:54 PM
. * * The "Ls" danielwAdministrator   Mon Oct 31 2005 01:22 AM
. * * Re: The "Ls" Old Sailor   Mon Oct 31 2005 01:33 AM
. * * Re: The "Ls" danielwAdministrator   Mon Oct 31 2005 02:45 AM
. * * I am back from Wilma WXMAN RICHIE   Mon Oct 31 2005 01:43 PM
. * * Re: I am back from Wilma Margie   Mon Oct 31 2005 06:08 PM
. * * Re: I am back from Wilma dave foster   Tue Nov 01 2005 12:23 AM
. * * Re: I am back from Wilma Multi-Decadal Signal   Tue Nov 01 2005 01:46 AM
. * * Re: I am back from Wilma dave foster   Tue Nov 01 2005 03:15 AM
. * * Re: I am back from Wilma damejune2   Mon Oct 31 2005 11:59 PM
. * * Re: I am back from Wilma CaneTrackerInSoFl   Mon Oct 31 2005 09:15 PM
. * * Re: I am back from Wilma Psyber   Mon Oct 31 2005 09:23 PM
. * * Re: I am back from Wilma Lee-Delray   Mon Oct 31 2005 09:48 PM
. * * Re: I am back from Wilma damejune2   Tue Nov 01 2005 12:02 AM
. * * Re: Cat II Beta Hits Nicaragua; Invest 92L Slowly Organizes typhoon_tip   Sun Oct 30 2005 05:26 PM
. * * Re: Cat II Beta Hits Nicaragua; Invest 92L Slowly Organizes Margie   Sun Oct 30 2005 05:23 PM

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