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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 286 (Idalia) , Major: 286 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 286 (Idalia) Major: 286 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

HanKFranK
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Loc: Graniteville, SC
Re: looking out
      Thu Nov 10 2005 06:20 PM

there hasn't been great model consistency over the past few days as to what's going to happen in the caribbean next week, but they're getting a bit more persistent. nogaps and gfs have a low pressure forming between panama/colombia and jamaica with a weaker low near the ne caribbean (nogaps takes it ne, then cuts it off like a hybrid storm), ukmet has a big broad low in the central caribbean.. and the canadian has a pokey little hybrid to the east sort of like nogaps.
the 200mb winds on gfs are what's got my interest more piqued than before. they are showing upper ridging in the western caribbean as next week wears on. if that is the case and there's the kind of convergence the models are indicating at the surface, something will be up. the feature to the east looks less likely, as it is shown getting carried up into the kind of shear that would shred it. noteworthy that the gfs has no subtropical ridge above it, just a westerly 500mb jet. the prog it gives is a meandering low pressure/tropical cyclone that is still in the caribbean around thanksgiving. i'm thinking that if a real system existed, it would track something more along the lines of lenny in 1999 or odette in 2003.
checked some joe b comments, and he thinks something is up. the disturbed weather around panama has been inching a little poleward, so keep an eye on the area during the weekend.
later all.
HF 1820z10november

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* November, Slow But Watching the Southwestern Caribbean MikeCAdministrator Thu Nov 10 2005 06:20 PM
. * * Re: November, Slow But Watching the Southwestern Caribbean Wingman51   Fri Nov 04 2005 01:35 PM
. * * Re: November, Slow But Watching the Southwestern Caribbean Margie   Fri Nov 04 2005 05:32 PM
. * * Re: November, Slow But Watching the Southwestern Caribbean danielwAdministrator   Sat Nov 05 2005 10:25 AM
. * * Re: November, Slow But Watching the Southwestern Caribbean Margie   Sat Nov 05 2005 03:08 PM
. * * Re: November, Slow But Watching the Southwestern Caribbean Storm Hunter   Sun Nov 06 2005 09:29 PM
. * * Re: November, Slow But Watching the Southwestern Caribbean Beaumont, TX   Sun Nov 06 2005 11:43 PM
. * * Re: November, Slow But Watching the Southwestern Caribbean Storm Hunter   Mon Nov 07 2005 06:22 AM
. * * Re: Wilam Article Lee-Delray   Mon Nov 07 2005 02:14 PM
. * * Re: Wilam Article ftlaudbob   Mon Nov 07 2005 02:31 PM
. * * Re: Wilma Article Lee-Delray   Mon Nov 07 2005 02:45 PM
. * * Re: Wilma Article Margie   Mon Nov 07 2005 05:34 PM
. * * Re: Wilma Article HanKFranK   Mon Nov 07 2005 09:41 PM
. * * Re: Wilma Article Margie   Mon Nov 07 2005 10:54 PM
. * * Re: Wilma Article Lysis   Mon Nov 07 2005 11:45 PM
. * * Re: Wilma Article Margie   Tue Nov 08 2005 03:46 AM
. * * Re: Wilma Article ftlaudbob   Wed Nov 09 2005 02:56 AM
. * * Re: Wilma Article Tropics Guy   Wed Nov 09 2005 03:14 AM
. * * Re: Wilma Article Random Chaos   Wed Nov 09 2005 12:14 PM
. * * looking out HanKFranK   Tue Nov 08 2005 06:41 AM
. * * Re: looking out Doombot!   Thu Nov 10 2005 07:29 AM
. * * Re: looking out Random Chaos   Thu Nov 10 2005 11:13 AM
. * * Re: looking out Clark   Thu Nov 10 2005 04:58 PM
. * * Re: looking out HanKFranK   Thu Nov 10 2005 06:20 PM
. * * Re: looking out *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* damejune2   Thu Nov 10 2005 10:07 PM
. * * Re: looking out *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* MapMaster   Thu Nov 10 2005 11:38 PM
. * * Re: looking out *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* Random Chaos   Fri Nov 11 2005 11:48 PM
. * * Re: looking out *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* Margie   Sat Nov 12 2005 01:56 AM
. * * Re: looking out *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* HanKFranK   Sat Nov 12 2005 05:02 PM
. * * Re: looking out *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* damejune2   Sat Nov 12 2005 11:42 PM
. * * 93L and 94L Two invest Form in One day in November! Starting to go Active again?!? NONAME   Sun Nov 13 2005 03:20 AM
. * * Re: 93L and 94L Two invest Form in One day in November! Starting to go Active again?!? Random Chaos   Sun Nov 13 2005 04:09 AM
. * * Re: 93L and 94L Two invest Form in One day in November! Starting to go Active again?!? HanKFranK   Sun Nov 13 2005 05:20 AM
. * * Re: 93L and 94L Two invest Form in One day in November! Starting to go Active again?!? Margie   Sun Nov 13 2005 05:57 AM
. * * Re: 93L and 94L Two invest Form in One day in November! Starting to go Active again?!? Random Chaos   Sun Nov 13 2005 02:36 PM
. * * Re: 93L and 94L Two invest Form in One day in November! Starting to go Active again?!? CaneTrackerInSoFl   Sun Nov 13 2005 06:18 PM
. * * Re: 93L and 94L Two invest Form in One day in November! Starting to go Active again?!? NONAME   Mon Nov 14 2005 12:52 AM
. * * Re: 93L and 94L Two invest Form in One day in November! Starting to go Active again?!? Old Sailor   Mon Nov 14 2005 01:07 AM
. * * Re: 93L and 94L Two invest Form in One day in November! Starting to go Active again?!? CaneTrackerInSoFl   Mon Nov 14 2005 02:16 AM
. * * TD 27 CaneTrackerInSoFl   Mon Nov 14 2005 02:52 AM
. * * Re: TD 27 Doombot!   Mon Nov 14 2005 04:03 AM
. * * Re: TD 27 Margie   Mon Nov 14 2005 03:16 AM
. * * Re: TD 27 Hurricane Dad   Mon Nov 14 2005 03:44 AM
. * * 93L Old Sailor   Sat Nov 12 2005 08:10 PM
. * * Re: 93L CoalCracker   Sat Nov 12 2005 09:51 PM
. * * Re: looking out Clark   Thu Nov 10 2005 11:10 PM
. * * Re: looking out *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* Lee-Delray   Thu Nov 10 2005 10:14 PM
. * * Re: looking out Random Chaos   Thu Nov 10 2005 10:50 PM
. * * Re: looking out Lee-Delray   Thu Nov 10 2005 10:37 PM
. * * Re: looking out Margie   Thu Nov 10 2005 11:11 PM
. * * Re: looking out Lee-Delray   Thu Nov 10 2005 12:54 PM
. * * Re: looking out Margie   Thu Nov 10 2005 04:32 PM
. * * Re: November, Slow But Watching the Southwestern Caribbean doug   Fri Nov 04 2005 05:32 PM

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