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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 300 (Idalia) , Major: 300 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 300 (Idalia) Major: 300 (Idalia)
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HanKFranK
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Reged:
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
recon timetable
      Wed Nov 16 2005 10:30 AM

i'm not sure what nhc is doing for recon today, but if they canceled it and didn't just redirect it to the sw caribbean feature i'm not so sure they'll be reconning anything. 93L is already moving (it seems to have already developed and is responding to the deep layer flow), and will be onshore nicaragua some time tonight.
it looks sort of like this: 93L is essentially a depression. it's broad and in it's formative stages, and has a t-rating of 1.0... so nhc is interpreting this to mean that it isn't a depression yet. i don't find it inconceivable that it has the usual depression conditons associated with it... with the strong low level flow to the north the winds should easily be reaching 25-30kt, with a central pressure near 1006-1007mb. but, no cdo, so no depression for now. maybe the sfc obs aren't showing as much as satellite is.
td 27's runaway center is on the fringe of its envelope, probably going to be absorbed. it actually looks better this morning than it did overnight, but is unlikely to stage a comeback sitting on the edge of a developing system. if it can remain coherent and over water, the feature to the south may hand off territorial rights once it gets onshore.. because the upper pattern over former 27 is now very good.
near the abc islands 27's old mid-level low sort of dragged back, and has left a wind-shift line at the surface and some associated vorticity. the shear down there isn't oppressive, so not impossible that another low won't form over there. don't think it terribly likely, though.
nothing new on the other model-envisioned subtropical type features out in the atlantic. it'll be a few days before they start to pop up, in whatever form they're going to take.
HF 1530z16november

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go HanKFranK Wed Nov 16 2005 10:30 AM
. * * Possible TD 28? Rich B   Thu Nov 17 2005 09:12 AM
. * * Re: Possible TD 28? ltpat228   Thu Nov 17 2005 09:18 AM
. * * Re: Possible TD 28? damejune2   Thu Nov 17 2005 11:29 AM
. * * winds are the issue not the heat LoisCane   Thu Nov 17 2005 11:35 AM
. * * Re: winds are the issue not the heat damejune2   Thu Nov 17 2005 01:44 PM
. * * Re: winds are the issue not the heat typhoon_tip   Thu Nov 17 2005 12:51 PM
. * * Re: winds are the issue not the heat damejune2   Thu Nov 17 2005 01:48 PM
. * * Re: winds are the issue not the heat typhoon_tip   Thu Nov 17 2005 02:33 PM
. * * Re: winds are the issue not the heat dave foster   Thu Nov 17 2005 02:12 PM
. * * Recon & Wilma Brad in Miami   Thu Nov 17 2005 02:43 PM
. * * Re: Recon & Wilma Brad in Miami   Thu Nov 17 2005 02:46 PM
. * * Re: Recon & Wilma doug   Thu Nov 17 2005 04:37 PM
. * * Re: Recon & Wilma Margie   Thu Nov 17 2005 03:49 PM
. * * Re: Recon & Wilma doug   Thu Nov 17 2005 04:42 PM
. * * nothing yet, but it ain't over HanKFranK   Fri Nov 18 2005 12:17 AM
. * * Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over Hootowl   Fri Nov 18 2005 07:05 AM
. * * Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over HURRICANELONNY   Fri Nov 18 2005 08:13 AM
. * * Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over Lysis   Fri Nov 18 2005 09:36 AM
. * * Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over Margie   Fri Nov 18 2005 11:58 AM
. * * Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over Fletch   Fri Nov 18 2005 12:53 PM
. * * Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over Brad in Miami   Fri Nov 18 2005 01:01 PM
. * * Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over Margie   Fri Nov 18 2005 12:57 PM
. * * Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over Thunderbird12   Fri Nov 18 2005 02:08 PM
. * * Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over Lee-Delray   Fri Nov 18 2005 02:29 PM
. * * Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over doug   Fri Nov 18 2005 02:47 PM
. * * Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over Lee-Delray   Fri Nov 18 2005 03:06 PM
. * * Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over Storm Hunter   Fri Nov 18 2005 03:15 PM
. * * Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over DJINFLA   Fri Nov 18 2005 03:14 PM
. * * Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over scottsvb   Fri Nov 18 2005 03:18 PM
. * * Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over DJINFLA   Fri Nov 18 2005 03:22 PM
. * * Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over Lee-Delray   Fri Nov 18 2005 03:30 PM
. * * Weather Report WXMAN RICHIE   Fri Nov 18 2005 03:40 PM
. * * Re: Weather Report Lee-Delray   Fri Nov 18 2005 03:42 PM
. * * Re: GAMMA IS BORN Tropics Guy   Fri Nov 18 2005 03:44 PM
. * * Re: Weather Report Storm Hunter   Fri Nov 18 2005 03:43 PM
. * * Re: Weather Report Clark   Fri Nov 18 2005 03:46 PM
. * * Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over Thunderbird12   Fri Nov 18 2005 03:16 PM
. * * Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over Lee-Delray   Fri Nov 18 2005 12:18 PM
. * * Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over Lysis   Fri Nov 18 2005 12:30 PM
. * * Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over Ron Basso   Fri Nov 18 2005 12:28 PM
. * * Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over Margie   Fri Nov 18 2005 12:47 PM
. * * Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over Lee-Delray   Fri Nov 18 2005 10:10 AM
. * * Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over Thunderbird12   Fri Nov 18 2005 11:06 AM
. * * Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over lawgator   Fri Nov 18 2005 10:52 AM
. * * Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over LoisCane   Fri Nov 18 2005 11:16 AM
. * * Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over damejune2   Fri Nov 18 2005 11:33 AM
. * * Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over jusforsean   Fri Nov 18 2005 11:01 AM
. * * Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over HanKFranK   Fri Nov 18 2005 11:00 AM
. * * Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over saluki   Fri Nov 18 2005 09:19 AM
. * * Re: nothing yet, but it ain't over Margie   Fri Nov 18 2005 09:32 AM
. * * Special Tropical Disturbance Statement Cycloneye11   Fri Nov 18 2005 09:26 AM
. * * NHC STDS 11/18 090 Mike   Fri Nov 18 2005 09:25 AM
. * * Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go SMOKE   Tue Nov 15 2005 06:29 AM
. * * Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go Tropics Guy   Tue Nov 15 2005 11:29 AM
. * * Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go Steve H1   Tue Nov 15 2005 12:10 PM
. * * Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go Rich B   Tue Nov 15 2005 12:16 PM
. * * Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go Margie   Tue Nov 15 2005 01:04 PM
. * * Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go Rabbit   Tue Nov 15 2005 03:26 PM
. * * Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go damejune2   Tue Nov 15 2005 04:25 PM
. * * Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go Lee-Delray   Tue Nov 15 2005 04:40 PM
. * * Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go Lysis   Tue Nov 15 2005 05:21 PM
. * * Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go Lee-Delray   Tue Nov 15 2005 05:31 PM
. * * things going crazy HanKFranK   Tue Nov 15 2005 06:56 PM
. * * Re: things going crazy Toto   Tue Nov 15 2005 10:39 PM
. * * Re: things going crazy HanKFranK   Wed Nov 16 2005 01:47 AM
. * * TD27 demise?? danielwAdministrator   Wed Nov 16 2005 05:39 AM
. * * Re: TD27 demise?? Thunderbird12   Wed Nov 16 2005 10:01 AM
. * * Re: TD27 demise?? Steve H1   Wed Nov 16 2005 10:14 AM
. * * recon timetable HanKFranK   Wed Nov 16 2005 10:30 AM
. * * Re: recon timetable Steve H1   Wed Nov 16 2005 12:37 PM
. * * Re: recon timetable ltpat228   Wed Nov 16 2005 05:56 PM
. * * alrighty then HanKFranK   Thu Nov 17 2005 12:43 AM
. * * Re: alrighty then danielwAdministrator   Thu Nov 17 2005 03:02 AM
. * * Re: alrighty then UKCloudgazer   Thu Nov 17 2005 05:40 AM
. * * Re: alrighty then Hugh   Thu Nov 17 2005 06:54 AM
. * * Could get wet ina few days... Beach   Thu Nov 17 2005 08:02 AM
. * * Re: things going crazy ltpat228   Tue Nov 15 2005 08:08 PM
. * * Re: things going crazy Lee-Delray   Tue Nov 15 2005 08:25 PM
. * * Re: things going crazy HanKFranK   Tue Nov 15 2005 09:30 PM
. * * Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go saluki   Sun Nov 13 2005 11:53 PM
. * * Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Nov 14 2005 12:31 AM
. * * Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Nov 14 2005 11:34 AM
. * * UK Met accuracy LoisCane   Mon Nov 14 2005 02:01 PM
. * * Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go Lee-Delray   Mon Nov 14 2005 12:29 PM
. * * Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go scottsvb   Mon Nov 14 2005 12:36 PM
. * * uk met pulls gamma north? LoisCane   Mon Nov 14 2005 02:00 PM
. * * Re: uk met pulls gamma north? Lee-Delray   Mon Nov 14 2005 02:03 PM
. * * Re: uk met pulls gamma north? Lee-Delray   Mon Nov 14 2005 05:37 PM
. * * Re: uk met pulls gamma north? HomesteadGirl   Mon Nov 14 2005 06:31 PM
. * * Re: uk met pulls gamma north? CoalCracker   Mon Nov 14 2005 07:26 PM
. * * Re: uk met pulls gamma north? *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* Lee-Delray   Mon Nov 14 2005 08:25 PM
. * * Re: uk met pulls gamma north? Random Chaos   Mon Nov 14 2005 10:35 PM
. * * take HanKFranK   Mon Nov 14 2005 11:49 PM
. * * Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go Lee-Delray   Mon Nov 14 2005 12:44 PM
. * * Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go CoalCracker   Mon Nov 14 2005 01:34 PM
. * * Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go Clark   Mon Nov 14 2005 01:23 AM
. * * Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go UKCloudgazer   Mon Nov 14 2005 03:56 AM
. * * Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go lawgator   Mon Nov 14 2005 10:14 AM
. * * Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go lawgator   Mon Nov 14 2005 11:03 AM
. * * Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go Margie   Mon Nov 14 2005 11:19 AM
. * * Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go Random Chaos   Mon Nov 14 2005 07:36 AM
. * * Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go damejune2   Mon Nov 14 2005 09:09 AM
. * * Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go Lee-Delray   Mon Nov 14 2005 09:19 AM
. * * Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go Lee-Delray   Mon Nov 14 2005 09:24 AM
. * * Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go damejune2   Mon Nov 14 2005 09:32 AM
. * * Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go Lee-Delray   Mon Nov 14 2005 09:38 AM
. * * Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go Ron Basso   Mon Nov 14 2005 10:10 AM
. * * Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go mojorox   Mon Nov 14 2005 02:30 AM
. * * Here we go...again danielwAdministrator   Mon Nov 14 2005 12:05 AM
. * * Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go CoalCracker   Sun Nov 13 2005 11:47 PM
. * * Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go LoisCane   Sun Nov 13 2005 11:39 PM
. * * Re: TD 27 Active in the SE Caribbean--here we go lunkerhunter   Sun Nov 13 2005 11:25 PM

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