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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 286 (Idalia) , Major: 286 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 286 (Idalia) Major: 286 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2005 Storm Forum

Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged:
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Piece of Cake - Almost
      Tue Nov 22 2005 04:20 AM

I actually started to gather my thoughts on this annual subject about two months ago. I'm thinking 13/7/2 or 13/8/3 - haven't made up my mind yet, but I'm leaning toward the latter if you are looking for some forecast numbers.

Only a couple of primary reasons - 1) I expect a colder winter over the southeast U.S., so a colder Atlantic basin next season, and 2) Climatology (thinking 1934). Haven't really looked at ENSO yet, but I'd anticipate a neutral SST state. What really surprises me is that HF and I are actually rather close for a change!
Cheers,
ED

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* 2006 HanKFranK Tue Nov 22 2005 04:20 AM
. * * Re: 2006 EwanM   Mon Dec 05 2005 07:09 PM
. * * Re: 2006 Margie   Fri Dec 02 2005 05:04 AM
. * * Re: 2006 Margie   Sat Dec 03 2005 04:05 PM
. * * Re: 2006 firestar_1   Thu Dec 01 2005 07:01 PM
. * * Re: 2006 swimaway19   Thu Dec 01 2005 01:00 AM
. * * Re: 2006 Bloodstar   Tue Nov 29 2005 09:50 AM
. * * Re: 2006 Lee-Delray   Tue Nov 22 2005 08:08 PM
. * * leadoff HanKFranK   Tue Nov 22 2005 03:13 AM
. * * Re: leadoff Tak   Tue Nov 29 2005 11:03 PM
. * * Re: leadoff NewWatcher   Mon Dec 05 2005 08:13 PM
. * * graycast HanKFranK   Tue Dec 06 2005 04:04 AM
. * * Re: graycast Margie   Tue Dec 06 2005 06:00 AM
. * * Re: graycast bobbutts   Tue Dec 06 2005 01:13 PM
. * * Re: graycast B.C.Francis   Tue Dec 06 2005 02:19 PM
. * * Re: graycast Beginner   Wed Dec 21 2005 05:52 PM
. * * Re: graycast Random Chaos   Wed Dec 28 2005 02:00 PM
. * * Re: graycast Margie   Tue Dec 06 2005 04:00 PM
. * * Re: graycast Tak   Tue Dec 06 2005 11:07 PM
. * * Re: graycast Margie   Mon Dec 12 2005 06:03 AM
. * * Re: leadoff UKCloudgazer   Thu Nov 24 2005 12:29 AM
. * * Re: leadoff Enrique   Thu Nov 24 2005 01:59 AM
. * * Re: leadoff Hurricane Fredrick 1979   Thu Nov 24 2005 03:34 AM
. * * 2006 AgnesOfHell   Mon Nov 28 2005 06:52 PM
. * * Re: leadoff Clark   Tue Nov 22 2005 08:35 PM
. * * 2006 leadoff rmbjoe1954   Tue Nov 22 2005 08:47 PM
. * * Re: 2006 leadoff NONAME   Wed Nov 23 2005 02:15 AM
. * * Re: 2006 leadoff Cycloneye11   Wed Nov 23 2005 01:40 PM
. * * Piece of Cake - Almost Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Nov 22 2005 04:20 AM
. * * Re: Piece of Cake - Almost CaneTrackerInSoFl   Tue Nov 22 2005 03:42 PM

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