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Invest 95L near 100% chance to develop, advisories likely to come later today. Hurricane and/or Tropical Storm Watches are possible later tonight for parts of the Windward islands of the Caribbean. Area east of that 30% chance. 94L 30% chance.

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 303 (Idalia) , Major: 303 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 303 (Idalia) Major: 303 (Idalia)

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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

Margie
Senior Storm Chaser

Reged:
Posts: 1191
Loc: Twin Cities

Re: Delta... why not?
Tue Nov 22 2005 06:03 PM

Rich, from the NHC definition of a Tropical Cyclone:

Tropical Cyclone:
A warm-core non-frontal synoptic-scale cyclone, originating over tropical or subtropical waters, with organized deep convection and a closed surface wind circulation about a well-defined center.

If you look at the latest 85Hz scan (from about 3pm) from the NRL site, there is only a very small area of significant deep convection just to the ESE of the center that only covers about from 75 to 135 deg...barely a quarter of the way around, and barely any other convection present.

Even Gamma had more convection than this when classified (wrapping about 200 deg around the center...it was at about T2.5).

Edit: and the 2311Z pass doesn't show any deep convection at all.

--------------------
Katrina's Surge: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/Katrinas_surge_contents.asp

Edited by Margie (Tue Nov 22 2005 07:22 PM)

Post Extras

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Delta... why not?	HanKFranK	Tue Nov 22 2005 06:03 PM
Re: Delta... why not?	FloydRTurbo	Wed Nov 23 2005 10:31 PM
Re: Delta... why not?	UKCloudgazer	Thu Nov 24 2005 05:25 AM
Re: Delta... why not?	FloydRTurbo	Thu Nov 24 2005 12:10 PM
Re: Delta... why not?	vineyardsaker	Tue Nov 22 2005 08:11 PM
Re: Delta... why not?	Rich B	Tue Nov 22 2005 05:28 PM
Re: Delta... why not?	typhoon_tip	Tue Nov 22 2005 06:29 PM
Re: Delta... why not?	Margie	Tue Nov 22 2005 06:03 PM
Re: Delta... why not?	Clark	Tue Nov 22 2005 07:48 PM
Re: Delta... why not?	Old Sailor	Tue Nov 22 2005 07:58 PM
Re: Delta... why not?	Clark	Tue Nov 22 2005 08:54 PM
Re: Delta... why not?	Old Sailor	Tue Nov 22 2005 09:06 PM
Re: Delta... why not?	HanKFranK	Tue Nov 22 2005 09:31 PM
Re: Delta... why not?	Old Sailor	Tue Nov 22 2005 09:53 PM
Re: Delta... why not?	HanKFranK	Tue Nov 22 2005 11:51 PM
Re: Delta... why not?	Margie	Wed Nov 23 2005 12:24 AM
Re: Delta... why not?	Bloodstar	Wed Nov 23 2005 01:30 AM
Re: Delta... why not?	Clark	Wed Nov 23 2005 01:52 AM
Re: Delta... why not?	danielw	Wed Nov 23 2005 02:20 AM
Re: Delta... why not?	Bloodstar	Wed Nov 23 2005 02:25 AM
Re: Delta... why not?	danielw	Wed Nov 23 2005 02:32 AM
Re: Delta... why not?	dave foster	Wed Nov 23 2005 08:39 AM
Re: Delta... why not?	UKCloudgazer	Wed Nov 23 2005 10:39 AM
Re: Delta... why not?	dave foster	Wed Nov 23 2005 11:45 AM
Re: Delta... why not?	HanKFranK	Wed Nov 23 2005 12:12 PM
Re: Delta... why not?	Rabbit	Wed Nov 23 2005 01:57 PM
Why is the NHC not naming this storm?	vineyardsaker	Wed Nov 23 2005 02:59 PM
Re: Why is the NHC not naming this storm?	Margie	Wed Nov 23 2005 03:41 PM
Re: Why is the NHC not naming this storm?	Storm Hunter	Wed Nov 23 2005 03:24 PM
Re: Why is the NHC not naming this storm?	Lee-Delray	Wed Nov 23 2005 03:41 PM
Re: Why is the NHC not naming this storm?	Trekman	Wed Nov 23 2005 04:17 PM
Re: Why is the NHC not naming this storm?	typhoon_tip	Wed Nov 23 2005 04:22 PM
Re: Why is the NHC not naming this storm?	Rabbit	Wed Nov 23 2005 03:42 PM
Re: Why is the NHC not naming this storm?	HanKFranK	Wed Nov 23 2005 03:57 PM
Re: Why is the NHC not naming this storm? Killed -- Sent to Graveyard	La Nimo	Wed Nov 23 2005 04:23 PM
Re: Why is the NHC not naming this storm? Killed -- Sent to Graveyard	dave foster	Wed Nov 23 2005 04:39 PM
Re: Why is the NHC not naming this storm?	Random Chaos	Wed Nov 23 2005 05:16 PM
Re: Why is the NHC not naming this storm?	Margie	Wed Nov 23 2005 05:37 PM
Re: Why is the NHC not naming this storm?	Tak	Wed Nov 23 2005 05:48 PM
Re: Why is the NHC not naming this storm?	Tak	Wed Nov 23 2005 05:55 PM
Re: Why is the NHC not naming this storm?	tpratch	Wed Nov 23 2005 06:20 PM
Re: Why is the NHC not naming this storm?	GuppieGrouper	Wed Nov 23 2005 06:59 PM
Interesting Note	danielw	Wed Nov 23 2005 07:46 PM
hmmm..	HanKFranK	Wed Nov 23 2005 08:32 PM
Re: hmmm..	LoisCane	Wed Nov 23 2005 09:45 PM
Re: hmmm..	Margie	Wed Nov 23 2005 10:00 PM
Delta Burke's direction..?	ltpat228	Wed Nov 23 2005 10:19 PM
Re: hmmm..	emackl	Wed Nov 23 2005 08:40 PM
Re: hmmm..	NONAME	Wed Nov 23 2005 08:48 PM
Re: hmmm..	dave foster	Wed Nov 23 2005 09:18 PM
Re: Why is the NHC not naming this storm?	UKCloudgazer	Wed Nov 23 2005 05:48 PM
Re: Why is the NHC not naming this storm?	Rabbit	Wed Nov 23 2005 05:06 PM
Re: Why is the NHC not naming this storm?	typhoon_tip	Wed Nov 23 2005 04:18 PM
Re: Why is the NHC not naming this storm?	Margie	Wed Nov 23 2005 04:04 PM
Re: Delta... why not?	ltpat228	Wed Nov 23 2005 08:46 AM
Re: Delta... why not?	Lee-Delray	Wed Nov 23 2005 10:48 AM
Re: Delta... why not?	ltpat228	Wed Nov 23 2005 11:34 AM
Re: Delta... why not?	Rabbit	Wed Nov 23 2005 11:22 AM
Re: Delta... why not?	dave foster	Wed Nov 23 2005 11:49 AM
Re: Delta... why not?	damejune2	Wed Nov 23 2005 10:24 AM
Re: Delta... why not?	Lee-Delray	Wed Nov 23 2005 08:54 AM
December	Doombot!	Wed Nov 23 2005 03:30 AM
Re: Delta... why not?	danielw	Wed Nov 23 2005 01:21 AM
Re: Delta... why not?	HanKFranK	Tue Nov 22 2005 09:04 PM
Re: Delta... why not?	Bloodstar	Tue Nov 22 2005 07:05 PM
Re: Delta... why not?	Rabbit	Tue Nov 22 2005 03:46 PM
Re: Delta... why not?	Rich B	Tue Nov 22 2005 04:20 PM
Re: Delta... why not?	ltpat228	Tue Nov 22 2005 04:37 PM
Re: Delta... why not?	Rich B	Tue Nov 22 2005 02:37 PM

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