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Tonight "the calm before the storm" and time to finish preps. Even now, high precipitable water and instability values ahead of Beryl are triggering flash flood threats with rainfall rates up to over 3"/Hr #Beryl #TXWX
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 312 (Idalia) , Major: 312 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 312 (Idalia) Major: 312 (Idalia)
TS Beryl
ADV#35A 1:00 pm EDT
25.5N 94.9W
Wind: 60MPH
Pres: 992mb
Moving:
Nw at 12 mph
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General Discussion >> Hurricane Ask/Tell
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Margie
Senior Storm Chaser


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Posts: 1191
Loc: Twin Cities
Re: Tropical Versus Sub Tropical
      Thu Dec 01 2005 09:47 AM

Well you know how to cruise the web! That was very revealing. And, it shows that the things that are question marks to us today were settled a long time ago at NHC; they are being consistent with their internal standard.

I'm trying to work out how this is justified. How about this reasoning. Because the storm is shallow, as long as it it warm-core up to the heights of the cloud tops, then it does not matter if it is still cold-core, higher up, because it is embedded in the larger low? It is embedded in a three-dimensional sense. However that doesn't seem totally logical.

Someone just pointed out to me something that can be demonstrated most clearly by a quote from the most recent discussion:

...A SHALLOW HYBRID-TYPE TROPICAL CYCLONE LIKE EPSILON...

This is clearly IMHO code for subtropical cyclone. And I am ok with that as long as it works out everyone is on the same page.

--------------------
Katrina's Surge: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/Katrinas_surge_contents.asp

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Versus Sub Tropical Bloodstar Thu Dec 01 2005 09:47 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Versus Sub Tropical Margie   Thu Dec 01 2005 09:47 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Versus Sub Tropical Bloodstar   Thu Dec 01 2005 03:09 PM

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