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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Milton) , Major: 42 (Milton) Florida - Any: 42 (Milton) Major: 42 (Milton)
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News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks
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Clark
Meteorologist


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Posts: 1710
Re: Merry Christmas No Hurricanes!
      Wed Dec 28 2005 03:24 PM

Margie brought the E. Atlantic feature to my attention earlier today. In short, those sorts of features are pretty common for this time of year in the central/eastern subtropical Atlantic. It's never really going to get the chance to detach from the upper-level pattern, which is pretty progressive across the US and into the central Atlantic, and shear values are quite high and not likely to get any or much lower. None of the models are calling for any surface development, either, and my feeling is that if anything were to get going it would be highly baroclinic (nontropical) in nature and probably move around the east side of the feature and then get caught up in the strong westerlies. Never say never, but I don't give that much of a shot at all...1% maybe, if that?

Out in the eastern Pacific, strong midlatitude weather systems continually tap what we call "the Pineapple Express," or the subtropical jet stream, oftentimes enhancing convection in the vicinity of the ITCZ where it reaches that far south. That's what's going on now. Convection may periodically flare, but I don't think that's any threat for any development -- again, too much shear, and the waters are quite chilly (relatively speaking as compared to summer) out that way right now.

Just my two cents.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Merry Christmas No Hurricanes! MikeCAdministrator Wed Dec 28 2005 03:24 PM
. * * re storm off africa Robert   Thu Dec 29 2005 09:44 AM
. * * Re: Merry Christmas No Hurricanes! eduardo sanchez   Wed Dec 28 2005 07:08 PM
. * * Re: Merry Christmas No Hurricanes! Clark   Wed Dec 28 2005 09:18 PM
. * * Re: Merry Christmas No Hurricanes! Margie   Thu Dec 29 2005 01:08 PM
. * * Re: Merry Christmas No Hurricanes! MapMaster   Fri Dec 30 2005 10:48 AM
. * * Re: Merry Christmas No Hurricanes! MapMaster   Fri Dec 30 2005 10:52 AM
. * * Re: Merry Christmas No Hurricanes! eduardo sanchez   Thu Dec 29 2005 06:50 PM
. * * Re: Merry Christmas No Hurricanes! Clark   Thu Dec 29 2005 08:27 PM
. * * Re: Merry Christmas No Hurricanes! danielwAdministrator   Thu Dec 29 2005 11:04 PM
. * * oh man... HanKFranK   Fri Dec 30 2005 04:24 AM
. * * Re: oh man... Random Chaos   Fri Dec 30 2005 09:03 AM
. * * Re: oh man... Margie   Fri Dec 30 2005 11:22 AM
. * * Re: oh man... Clark   Fri Dec 30 2005 11:38 AM
. * * Zeta? Hurricane Dad   Fri Dec 30 2005 09:24 AM
. * * Re: Zeta? Random Chaos   Fri Dec 30 2005 09:40 AM
. * * Re: Zeta? MapMaster   Fri Dec 30 2005 10:48 AM
. * * Re: Zeta? Random Chaos   Fri Dec 30 2005 10:55 AM
. * * Re: Zeta? MapMaster   Fri Dec 30 2005 11:00 AM
. * * Tropical Storm Zeta Random Chaos   Fri Dec 30 2005 11:14 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Zeta MapMaster   Fri Dec 30 2005 11:43 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Zeta Margie   Fri Dec 30 2005 12:13 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Zeta HanKFranK   Fri Dec 30 2005 01:40 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Zeta Margie   Fri Dec 30 2005 11:24 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Zeta Random Chaos   Fri Dec 30 2005 11:29 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Zeta MapMaster   Fri Dec 30 2005 11:44 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Zeta Clark   Fri Dec 30 2005 11:55 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Zeta Random Chaos   Fri Dec 30 2005 11:22 AM
. * * Re: Merry Christmas No Hurricanes! Random Chaos   Mon Dec 26 2005 12:31 PM
. * * Re: Merry Christmas No Hurricanes! Clark   Mon Dec 26 2005 05:42 PM
. * * Re: Merry Christmas No Hurricanes! damejune2   Wed Dec 28 2005 02:44 PM
. * * Re: Merry Christmas No Hurricanes! MapMaster   Wed Dec 28 2005 02:50 PM
. * * Re: Merry Christmas No Hurricanes! Random Chaos   Wed Dec 28 2005 03:58 PM
. * * Re: Merry Christmas No Hurricanes! Clark   Wed Dec 28 2005 03:24 PM

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