Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995

The Atlantic is quiet

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 45 (Milton) , Major: 45 (Milton) Florida - Any: 45 (Milton) Major: 45 (Milton)

NEWS

CURRENT STORMS

None

HypeScale: 0

COMMUNICATION

STORM DATA

CONTENT

FOLLOW US

National Hurricane Center

You are not logged in. [Login]

Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

News Talkback >> 2005 News Talkbacks

Clark
Meteorologist

Reged:
Posts: 1710

Re: oh man...
Fri Dec 30 2005 11:38 AM

To me, I didn't think it could make the quantum leap (in organization) that it did overnight and sustain it long enough to be classified as a bonafide threat -- yet alone a tropical storm. There's another trough to its west heading toward the vicinity of Zeta, though it looks like the bulk of it may be trying to lift north around the storm. I'll be interested to see what the NHC package has to say; my best guess is about 1-2 days of longevity with a slow motion to the NW at first replaced by a track toward the northeast thereafter.

Shear values were initially pretty bad for development -- 60 or 65kt from 850-200mb -- but as the upper-low "built down" to the surface (or at least helped spawn, in some manner, a surface feature) and started to devleop there, the vertical shear values dropped. They now sit in the vicinity of 20kt, which is much more favorable (and not uncommon). The development of Zeta is similar to the other three out there, with some subtle differences -- perhaps with a taste of the "forming on the NE side in the diffluent region of an upper-low" scenario that we saw with some of the western Atlantic's storms.

Nevertheless, I'm glad I didn't say zero percent chance a few days ago -- turns out to be 100%. I love tropical activity that affects no one as much as the next person, but this is just crazy! I certainly hope that every deep-latitude trough in the eastern Atlantic doesn't continue to spawn these features as we move into 2006; they are pretty common features for winter and spring out that way. I'm still a bit surprised by this development, so I'll try to spend some time figuring out why we've got it later today.

--------------------
Current Tropical Model Output Plots
(or view them on the main page for any active Atlantic storms!)

Post Extras

Print Post

Remind Me!

Notify Moderator

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Merry Christmas No Hurricanes!	MikeC	Fri Dec 30 2005 11:38 AM
re storm off africa	Robert	Thu Dec 29 2005 09:44 AM
Re: Merry Christmas No Hurricanes!	eduardo sanchez	Wed Dec 28 2005 07:08 PM
Re: Merry Christmas No Hurricanes!	Clark	Wed Dec 28 2005 09:18 PM
Re: Merry Christmas No Hurricanes!	Margie	Thu Dec 29 2005 01:08 PM
Re: Merry Christmas No Hurricanes!	MapMaster	Fri Dec 30 2005 10:48 AM
Re: Merry Christmas No Hurricanes!	MapMaster	Fri Dec 30 2005 10:52 AM
Re: Merry Christmas No Hurricanes!	eduardo sanchez	Thu Dec 29 2005 06:50 PM
Re: Merry Christmas No Hurricanes!	Clark	Thu Dec 29 2005 08:27 PM
Re: Merry Christmas No Hurricanes!	danielw	Thu Dec 29 2005 11:04 PM
oh man...	HanKFranK	Fri Dec 30 2005 04:24 AM
Re: oh man...	Random Chaos	Fri Dec 30 2005 09:03 AM
Re: oh man...	Margie	Fri Dec 30 2005 11:22 AM
Re: oh man...	Clark	Fri Dec 30 2005 11:38 AM
Zeta?	Hurricane Dad	Fri Dec 30 2005 09:24 AM
Re: Zeta?	Random Chaos	Fri Dec 30 2005 09:40 AM
Re: Zeta?	MapMaster	Fri Dec 30 2005 10:48 AM
Re: Zeta?	Random Chaos	Fri Dec 30 2005 10:55 AM
Re: Zeta?	MapMaster	Fri Dec 30 2005 11:00 AM
Tropical Storm Zeta	Random Chaos	Fri Dec 30 2005 11:14 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Zeta	MapMaster	Fri Dec 30 2005 11:43 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Zeta	Margie	Fri Dec 30 2005 12:13 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Zeta	HanKFranK	Fri Dec 30 2005 01:40 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Zeta	Margie	Fri Dec 30 2005 11:24 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Zeta	Random Chaos	Fri Dec 30 2005 11:29 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Zeta	MapMaster	Fri Dec 30 2005 11:44 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Zeta	Clark	Fri Dec 30 2005 11:55 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Zeta	Random Chaos	Fri Dec 30 2005 11:22 AM
Re: Merry Christmas No Hurricanes!	Random Chaos	Mon Dec 26 2005 12:31 PM
Re: Merry Christmas No Hurricanes!	Clark	Mon Dec 26 2005 05:42 PM
Re: Merry Christmas No Hurricanes!	damejune2	Wed Dec 28 2005 02:44 PM
Re: Merry Christmas No Hurricanes!	MapMaster	Wed Dec 28 2005 02:50 PM
Re: Merry Christmas No Hurricanes!	Random Chaos	Wed Dec 28 2005 03:58 PM
Re: Merry Christmas No Hurricanes!	Clark	Wed Dec 28 2005 03:24 PM

Extra information

0 registered and 569 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:

Thread views: 27014

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center