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Invest area 94L now being tracked just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 300 (Idalia) , Major: 300 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 300 (Idalia) Major: 300 (Idalia)
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HanKFranK
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Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
Re: Australia - Tropical Cyclone Monica
      Sun Apr 23 2006 01:23 PM

hasn't been an unusually active season down in the australia area, but monica is very intense and ought to feed the debate over whether tropical cyclones are getting stronger worldwide. i don't buy it personally, but that is one hell of a cyclone. good news is, it has to travel near shore before going in, region is not exactly dotted with settlements, and eyewall processes ought to take this storm down a few notches before it finally comes in. the amsu imagery suggests that an outer eyewall is forming, and later today or tonight the inner one will probably snap and allow the storm's windfield to flatten and loosen up some. the bad news is, when this thing goes through the darwin area it may have katrina-like effects as opposed to camille-like effects, as the old storm of record there is tracy from 1974, which was small and extremely intense (much like camille). even if the storm winds weaken a great deal, there ought to be significant storm surge damage near the coast. i would not want to be below 20' above sea level if i had to deal with monica.
that thing is hauntingly pretty. very symmetric, annualar profile.... reminiscent of isabel.
HF 1723z23april

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Australia - Tropical Cyclone Monica Ed DunhamAdministrator Sun Apr 23 2006 01:23 PM
. * * Re: Australia - Tropical Cyclone Monica ltpat228   Sat Apr 22 2006 05:13 PM
. * * Re: Australia - Tropical Cyclone Monica Bloodstar   Sun Apr 23 2006 05:36 AM
. * * Re: Australia - Tropical Cyclone Monica Bloodstar   Sun Apr 23 2006 05:53 AM
. * * Re: Australia - Tropical Cyclone Monica Margie   Sun Apr 23 2006 02:01 PM
. * * Re: Australia - "Very Severe" Tropical Cyclone Monica Margie   Sun Apr 23 2006 07:57 PM
. * * Re: Australia - "Very Severe" Tropical Cyclone Monica danielwAdministrator   Sun Apr 23 2006 08:26 PM
. * * Re: Australia - "Very Severe" Tropical Cyclone Monica Margie   Sun Apr 23 2006 09:03 PM
. * * Re: Australia - "Very Severe" Tropical Cyclone Monica HanKFranK   Mon Apr 24 2006 01:45 AM
. * * Re: Australia - "Very Severe" Tropical Cyclone Monica Margie   Mon Apr 24 2006 08:45 AM
. * * Re: Australia - "Very Severe" Tropical Cyclone Monica HanKFranK   Mon Apr 24 2006 09:49 AM
. * * Re: Australia - "Very Severe" Tropical Cyclone Monica Tropigal30   Mon Apr 24 2006 01:19 PM
. * * Re: Australia - "Very Severe" Tropical Cyclone Monica HanKFranK   Tue Apr 25 2006 01:45 AM
. * * Re: Australia - "Very Severe" Tropical Cyclone Monica Margie   Wed Apr 26 2006 01:47 PM
. * * Wind speed conversion danielwAdministrator   Wed Apr 26 2006 09:20 PM
. * * Re: Wind speed conversion Margie   Thu Apr 27 2006 01:48 AM
. * * Re: Wind speed conversion danielwAdministrator   Wed May 24 2006 12:27 AM
. * * Re: Australia - Tropical Cyclone Monica Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Apr 23 2006 08:46 AM
. * * Re: Australia - Tropical Cyclone Monica Margie   Sun Apr 23 2006 10:39 AM
. * * Re: Australia - Tropical Cyclone Monica HanKFranK   Sun Apr 23 2006 01:23 PM
. * * Re: Australia - Tropical Cyclone Monica Storm Cooper   Sun Apr 23 2006 09:56 AM

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