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Margie
Senior Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1191
Loc: Twin Cities
Re: Is Mala A Cyclone?
      Thu Apr 27 2006 09:22 AM

This morning, officially, yes.

JTWC warning #7 has sust winds 70kts and steadily brings it up to a weak Cat 4 in 48 hours. NRL also labeled 70kts. Looks like convection is starting to wrap around the center on the microwave pass, and it appears to now be in an area of low shear, after the last couple days. Good outflow on the west -- can someone explain why the outflow is so lopsided? I am seeing a little outflow to the SE (closer in) but none to the NE. I can see something is enhancing it on the west and north, and it looks like a ridge (dry clear air), but I still don't know enough about troughs and ridges to get it.

91S not looking so shabby either.

* * * * * * *

I don't get it...the strengthening in warning #7, which was surprising to begin with, has been replaced in #8 with a very moderate forecast increase in intensity over the next 48 hours (from the existing 80kts, to 90kts). However, this, just as Mala is starting to look like the core is coming together. Most of the sat images except IR are old, so it'll be interesting to see how things shape up over the next 12 hours.

--------------------
Katrina's Surge: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/Katrinas_surge_contents.asp

Edited by Margie (Thu Apr 27 2006 08:55 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Is Mala A Cyclone? Bloodstar Thu Apr 27 2006 09:22 AM
. * * Re: Is Mala A Cyclone? Margie   Thu Apr 27 2006 09:22 AM
. * * Re: Is Mala A Cyclone? Margie   Thu Apr 27 2006 11:07 PM
. * * Is Mala A Cyclone...or What Margie   Fri Apr 28 2006 08:54 AM
. * * Re: Is Mala A Cyclone...or What Margie   Fri Apr 28 2006 12:37 PM
. * * Re: Is Mala A Cyclone...or What Margie   Fri Apr 28 2006 06:26 PM
. * * Re: Is Mala A Cyclone...or What Bloodstar   Fri Apr 28 2006 07:49 PM
. * * Re: Is Mala A Cyclone...or What Margie   Sat Apr 29 2006 10:44 AM
. * * Re: Is Mala A Cyclone...or What danielwAdministrator   Tue May 02 2006 12:52 AM

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