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With today's 5PM NHC #HurricaneBeryl update, the U.S. is now officially in the cone for the first time. Jamaica to Mexico to Texas.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 309 (Idalia) , Major: 309 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 309 (Idalia) Major: 309 (Idalia)
Hur Beryl
ADV#25A 1:00 am EDT
19.5N 84.8W
Wind: 110MPH
Pres: 974mb
Moving:
Wnw at 20 mph
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General Discussion >> Hurricane Ask/Tell
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Steve H1
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 309
Loc: Palm Bay FL USA
Re: some general questions
      Wed May 10 2006 02:08 PM

Regarding your questions Christine, I wouldn't categorize a "weak La Nina" as good news, although there are other conditions that would have to be in place to make it a dangerous hurricane season. Any season that is La Nina or ENSO neutral could mean an active Atlantic season. I've heard this term misused recently, particularly by Glenn Richards in Orlando where he stated that the "current La Nina pattern is responsible for our westerly flow and contributing to our wildfires across central Florida." While a weak La Nina may have existed 6 - 8 weeks ago, it is long gone now and we're in a neutral pattern currently. Again, La Nina or neutral patterns generally mean more active Atlantic hurricane seasons, but other factors affect the outcome as well. Dr. Gray will have his update out June 1st or thereabouts. I believe this season will be another nail-biter, but with numbers closer to 2004. Where these storms go will depend on the axis of the east coast ridge (Bermuda high), which I believe will strengthen during August, and present a dangerous set up for the SE US and Gulf coastal areas as well..........western GOM quite possibly is ridging becomes dominant. Cheers!!

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* some general questions sara33 Wed May 10 2006 02:08 PM
. * * Re: some general questions Steve H1   Wed May 10 2006 02:08 PM
. * * Re: some general questions Spoken   Wed May 17 2006 04:05 PM
. * * Re: some general questions Nateball   Sun May 21 2006 10:40 PM
. * * Re: some general questions Clark   Mon May 22 2006 07:15 PM
. * * Re: some general questions sara33   Wed May 10 2006 08:22 PM
. * * Re: some general questions Clark   Wed May 10 2006 09:51 PM
. * * Re: some general questions CaneTrackerInSoFl   Wed May 10 2006 09:47 PM
. * * Re: some general questions HURRICANELONNY   Wed May 10 2006 04:55 PM
. * * Re: some general questions lurker   Wed May 10 2006 11:21 AM

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