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With today's 5PM NHC #HurricaneBeryl update, the U.S. is now officially in the cone for the first time. Jamaica to Mexico to Texas.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 309 (Idalia) , Major: 309 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 309 (Idalia) Major: 309 (Idalia)
Hur Beryl
ADV#25A 1:00 am EDT
19.5N 84.8W
Wind: 110MPH
Pres: 974mb
Moving:
Wnw at 20 mph
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General Discussion >> Hurricane Ask/Tell
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Clark
Meteorologist


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Posts: 1710
Re: some general questions
      Wed May 10 2006 09:51 PM

It wasn't particularly stronger in 2005, just shifted further to the west of where it was in 2004. Thus, we saw about two primary paths for storms this year, of course with some deviation here and there -- out to sea out by the Bahamas, or through the Gulf/Caribbean to the north-central or northwest Gulf coast.

As for the other question about how we fare vs. the NHC -- well, we don't really try to compete with them, so we don't put out forecast points or anything. We just try to stress the importance of preparation, discuss the storms, point out ideas that the NHC specialists don't always have the chance to do so themselves, and highlight areas where uncertainty exists in the forecasts. I've thought about trying to put out specific points, but it doesn't really accomplish anything other than foster confusion. You will see us mention our ideas on tracks and everything, with some success, but it's not really possible to compare how we do vs. the NHC (and vice versa).

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* some general questions sara33 Wed May 10 2006 09:51 PM
. * * Re: some general questions Steve H1   Wed May 10 2006 02:08 PM
. * * Re: some general questions Spoken   Wed May 17 2006 04:05 PM
. * * Re: some general questions Nateball   Sun May 21 2006 10:40 PM
. * * Re: some general questions Clark   Mon May 22 2006 07:15 PM
. * * Re: some general questions sara33   Wed May 10 2006 08:22 PM
. * * Re: some general questions Clark   Wed May 10 2006 09:51 PM
. * * Re: some general questions CaneTrackerInSoFl   Wed May 10 2006 09:47 PM
. * * Re: some general questions HURRICANELONNY   Wed May 10 2006 04:55 PM
. * * Re: some general questions lurker   Wed May 10 2006 11:21 AM

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