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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 285 (Idalia) , Major: 285 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 285 (Idalia) Major: 285 (Idalia)
 


General Discussion >> Other Storm Basins

Margie
Senior Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1191
Loc: Twin Cities
Chanchu is done
      Mon May 15 2006 12:12 PM

Morning -- haven't done more than take a quick look. Chanchu looks done. Strong shear has lopped off all convection on the northern side. It appears to be a cold front? [edit -- both wrong guesses -- just cold water! but there could be a trough, because actually outflow still looks excellent -- I just can't tell]

I should have realized this last night, because before #26 came out, Chanchu looked like it had peaked and was on the downswing, the CDO was starting to become lopsided, and I did say the steady state had changed, but then when they had the intensity increasing for another 24 hours, I thought that I wasn't seeing it right.

Anyway NRL still labels the images at 120kts but no way...doesn't even look to be more than around 105kts now, and once it moves a little further north if the convection continues to erode at this same rate, around the eyewall, then that is it I would guess. I have never seen a strong hurricane get mowed down like this, so I don't know exactly what to expect.

Thanks much Clark -- would definitely be interested in hearing some feedback on what is going on with Chanchu and going back over the last 24 hours how this could have been seen on the sat images (everything is a learning experience).

--------------------
Katrina's Surge: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/Katrinas_surge_contents.asp

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* TS Chanchu Domino Mon May 15 2006 12:12 PM
. * * Re: TS Chanchu Domino   Thu May 11 2006 11:19 AM
. * * Re: TS Chanchu Domino   Thu May 11 2006 03:37 PM
. * * Typhoon Chanchu aka Tropical Storm Caloy Domino   Thu May 11 2006 03:45 PM
. * * Re: Typhoon Chanchu aka Tropical Storm Caloy Barbiemanila   Sat May 13 2006 02:16 AM
. * * Re: Typhoon Chanchu aka Tropical Storm Caloy Margie   Sat May 13 2006 03:11 AM
. * * Re: Typhoon Chanchu aka Tropical Storm Caloy CaneTrackerInSoFl   Sun May 14 2006 12:24 PM
. * * Re: Typhoon Chanchu aka Tropical Storm Caloy Margie   Sun May 14 2006 01:52 PM
. * * Typhoon Chanchu bombing Margie   Sun May 14 2006 03:30 PM
. * * Re: Typhoon Chanchu bombing Margie   Sun May 14 2006 07:18 PM
. * * Philippines Aftermath for Chanchu aka Caloy Domino   Sun May 14 2006 07:37 PM
. * * Re: Typhoon Chanchu bombing Tiff   Sun May 14 2006 07:11 PM
. * * Re: Typhoon Chanchu bombing Margie   Sun May 14 2006 07:32 PM
. * * Re: Typhoon Chanchu bombing Tiff   Sun May 14 2006 08:20 PM
. * * Re: Typhoon Chanchu bombing Margie   Sun May 14 2006 08:35 PM
. * * Re: Typhoon Chanchu bombing Hannu   Mon May 15 2006 09:43 PM
. * * Re: Typhoon Chanchu bombing Deep Surge   Mon May 15 2006 11:07 PM
. * * Chanchu in cool waters Margie   Tue May 16 2006 01:02 AM
. * * Re: Chanchu in cool waters Clark   Tue May 16 2006 03:59 AM
. * * Re: Chanchu in cool waters Deep Surge   Tue May 16 2006 04:49 AM
. * * Re: Chanchu in cool waters Margie   Tue May 16 2006 11:18 AM
. * * Re: Chanchu in cool waters Margie   Tue May 16 2006 02:05 PM
. * * Re: Chanchu in cool waters Margie   Tue May 16 2006 02:17 PM
. * * Re: Chanchu in cool waters Margie   Tue May 16 2006 02:18 PM
. * * Re: Chanchu in cool waters Margie   Tue May 16 2006 09:30 PM
. * * Chanchu update malt-teaser   Wed May 17 2006 05:18 PM
. * * Re: Chanchu update Margie   Fri May 19 2006 03:22 AM
. * * Re: Chanchu update malt-teaser   Wed May 17 2006 05:21 PM
. * * Re: Chanchu in cool waters Hannu   Tue May 16 2006 10:52 AM
. * * Re: Typhoon Chanchu bombing Tiff   Sun May 14 2006 08:48 PM
. * * Re: Typhoon Chanchu bombing CaneTrackerInSoFl   Sun May 14 2006 10:01 PM
. * * Re: Typhoon Chanchu bombing HanKFranK   Mon May 15 2006 03:01 AM
. * * Re: Typhoon Chanchu bombing Margie   Mon May 15 2006 02:50 AM
. * * Re: Typhoon Chanchu bombing Clark   Mon May 15 2006 06:03 AM
. * * Re: Typhoon Chanchu bombing Margie   Mon May 15 2006 02:16 PM
. * * lesser storm HanKFranK   Mon May 15 2006 07:35 PM
. * * Re: lesser storm malt-teaser   Mon May 15 2006 09:15 PM
. * * Re: Typhoon Chanchu bombing alyssum   Mon May 15 2006 12:53 PM
. * * Re: Typhoon Chanchu bombing malt-teaser   Mon May 15 2006 08:54 PM
. * * Re: Typhoon Chanchu bombing alyssum   Tue May 16 2006 04:19 AM
. * * Chanchu is done Margie   Mon May 15 2006 12:12 PM
. * * Re: Typhoon Chanchu bombing Tiff   Mon May 15 2006 03:00 AM
. * * Re: Typhoon Chanchu bombing Margie   Mon May 15 2006 03:24 AM
. * * Have handheld weather station, will travel? Margie   Fri May 12 2006 04:49 PM
. * * Re: Have handheld weather station, will travel? CaneTrackerInSoFl   Fri May 12 2006 09:26 PM
. * * Re: Have handheld weather station, will travel? Margie   Fri May 12 2006 10:50 PM
. * * Re: Have handheld weather station, will travel? Domino   Sat May 13 2006 12:28 AM
. * * Re: Typhoon Chanchu aka Tropical Storm Caloy hockeyucf   Thu May 11 2006 04:22 PM

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