ANOTHER WELL-DEFINED RATHER LARGE TROPICAL WAVE IS ADJUSTED AHEAD ALONG 62W/63W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 15-20 KT. THIS WAVE IS GENERATING SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. THIS MOISTURE WILL SPREAD ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND HISPANIOLA LATER TODAY AND TOMORROW PRODUCING AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL. A MODERATE TO STRONG SURGE IN THE TRADE WINDS WILL FOLLOW THIS SYSTEM ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN SEA.
If anyone knows which wave this one is below, please tell me. (the one above is the one we have been talking about).
A TROPICAL WAVE IS ADDED TO THE 12 UTC ANALYSIS ALONG 20W/21W SOUTH OF 13N MOVING WEST NEAR 15 KT. THIS WAVE IS WELL DEFINED WITH A LOW-MID LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR 7N. THIS FEATURE IS GENERATING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM 2N-12N BETWEEN 14W-27W. COMPUTER MODELS HAVE A GOOD HANDLE ON THE INITIALIZATION OF THIS WAVE AND TRACK IT TO THE WNW NEAR 15 KT AS A WELL-DEFINED TROPICAL WAVE OR POSSIBLY A WEAK LOW PRES SYSTEM.
-------------------- My Hurricane Season 2006 Prediction: 15/8/5
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