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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 286 (Idalia) , Major: 286 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 286 (Idalia) Major: 286 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2006 Storm Forum
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HanKFranK
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Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea
      Thu Jun 15 2006 01:36 AM

wave south of hispaniola is speeding. it's probably going too fast to do much. might be more interesting when it slows down, which should be much further west near central america.
the other two in the open ocean are looking none the better, but still impressive for this time of year. a major convective blowup could spark something, but evolution will be quite slow. climatological odds are against both.
alberto came at the tail end of an SOI negative pulse in the pacific... which is pretty much a shift from the equatorial trades from easterly to backing westerly. backing westerly winds cause a ton of convergence.. and often come in tandem with an mjo wave pulse. in alberto's case that's pretty much what crunched things up and let the system develop.
SOI is down again, so in a week or two we may have another pattern-induced system. the ones in the meanwhile will have to hack things out the old fashioned way, which is very hard to do outside of the much improved conditions for waves to develop that occur in august-september.
HF 0236z15june

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Ed DunhamAdministrator Thu Jun 15 2006 01:36 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea B.C.Francis   Tue Jun 13 2006 08:32 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Stormwatchin' Dan   Tue Jun 13 2006 08:37 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Stormwatchin' Dan   Tue Jun 13 2006 07:55 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Nateball   Tue Jun 13 2006 08:03 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea madmumbler   Tue Jun 13 2006 08:09 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Stormwatchin' Dan   Tue Jun 13 2006 08:24 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Clark   Tue Jun 13 2006 09:04 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea danielwAdministrator   Tue Jun 13 2006 11:22 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea NewWatcher   Tue Jun 13 2006 11:42 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea madmumbler   Wed Jun 14 2006 12:57 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Storm Cooper   Wed Jun 14 2006 01:00 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea madmumbler   Wed Jun 14 2006 01:12 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea ftlaudbob   Wed Jun 14 2006 02:28 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Clark   Wed Jun 14 2006 04:31 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Stormwatchin' Dan   Wed Jun 14 2006 04:46 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea BullitNutz   Wed Jun 14 2006 05:43 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea madmumbler   Wed Jun 14 2006 11:09 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea HURRICANELONNY   Wed Jun 14 2006 12:20 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea newbie   Wed Jun 14 2006 02:32 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea steve5304   Wed Jun 14 2006 02:48 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Reaper   Wed Jun 14 2006 03:06 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea steve5304   Wed Jun 14 2006 03:32 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Jenny   Wed Jun 14 2006 03:52 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea AgnesOfHell   Wed Jun 14 2006 04:09 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea CaneTrackerInSoFl   Wed Jun 14 2006 04:40 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Stormwatchin' Dan   Wed Jun 14 2006 05:05 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Jenny   Wed Jun 14 2006 09:44 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea BullitNutz   Wed Jun 14 2006 10:42 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea NewWatcher   Wed Jun 14 2006 11:20 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Storm Cooper   Wed Jun 14 2006 11:34 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea sara33   Thu Jun 15 2006 12:12 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Thomas Giella   Thu Jun 15 2006 02:36 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Stormwatchin' Dan   Thu Jun 15 2006 03:40 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Stormwatchin' Dan   Thu Jun 15 2006 05:58 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Storm Cooper   Thu Jun 15 2006 12:25 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea dem05   Thu Jun 15 2006 12:39 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea sara33   Thu Jun 15 2006 12:45 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea HanKFranK   Thu Jun 15 2006 01:36 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea sara33   Thu Jun 15 2006 01:41 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea madmumbler   Fri Jun 16 2006 01:52 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea sara33   Sat Jun 17 2006 02:23 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea madmumbler   Wed Jun 14 2006 10:25 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea nl   Wed Jun 14 2006 10:34 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Kimberley Clark   Wed Jun 14 2006 04:15 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea steve5304   Wed Jun 14 2006 04:07 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Clark   Wed Jun 14 2006 08:42 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Nateball   Wed Jun 14 2006 04:17 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Nateball   Wed Jun 14 2006 04:06 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Jenny   Wed Jun 14 2006 02:56 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea newbie   Wed Jun 14 2006 02:59 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea GuppieGrouper   Wed Jun 14 2006 02:28 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea BullitNutz   Wed Jun 14 2006 02:56 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Stormwatchin' Dan   Wed Jun 14 2006 03:01 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea danielwAdministrator   Wed Jun 14 2006 03:58 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea madmumbler   Wed Jun 14 2006 01:10 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea nl   Tue Jun 13 2006 11:51 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Stormwatchin' Dan   Wed Jun 14 2006 12:08 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Jenny   Wed Jun 14 2006 12:18 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea West FL Jess   Wed Jun 14 2006 03:51 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Stormwatchin' Dan   Wed Jun 14 2006 03:53 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Nateball   Wed Jun 14 2006 03:58 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Stormwatchin' Dan   Wed Jun 14 2006 04:01 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Stormwatchin' Dan   Wed Jun 14 2006 12:23 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Storm Cooper   Wed Jun 14 2006 12:31 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Jenny   Wed Jun 14 2006 12:43 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea fatcat475   Wed Jun 14 2006 12:57 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Stormwatchin' Dan   Tue Jun 13 2006 09:08 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea HanKFranK   Tue Jun 13 2006 09:32 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Stormwatchin' Dan   Tue Jun 13 2006 09:34 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Eastern Caribbean Sea Black Pearl   Tue Jun 13 2006 09:47 PM

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