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General Discussion >> Hurricane Ask/Tell
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Clark
Meteorologist


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Posts: 1710
Re: Hurricane trends
      Thu Jun 15 2006 01:09 AM

Let me add another caveat here: while this covers the years from 1970-2005, it does not fully explain what we have seen over the past 10 years. Even within the three ENSO phase composites, the numbers do increase for years over the past ten years. Thus, for a complete analysis, the trend and/or the averages need to be removed from the data before even compositing the seasons. This is to ensure that the statistics are valid between each of the composites and to hopefully ensure that the results have some physical merit.

So, ultimately, what this "study" shows you is perhaps a part of why we've seen so much activity -- though most of it would be expected anyway from what we know about ENSO cycles. How much of that is tied into the uptick in the past ten years remains up for debate, however. Truthfully, were it not for 1995, 2004, and 2005 -- three years out of 10 -- not a whole lot would seem out of place. Just my two cents, though.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Hurricane trends Clark Thu Jun 15 2006 01:09 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane trends Clark   Thu Jun 15 2006 01:09 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane trends HanKFranK   Thu Jun 15 2006 11:51 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane trends longtime-lurker   Thu Jun 15 2006 02:19 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane trends Clark   Thu Jun 15 2006 12:59 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane trends Margie   Thu Jun 15 2006 06:05 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane trends Clark   Thu Jun 15 2006 09:23 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane trends Margie   Thu Jun 15 2006 10:30 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane trends LoisCane   Fri Jun 16 2006 12:01 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane trends Margie   Sat Jun 24 2006 12:00 PM
. * * so youre comparing Chris Landsea and Associates to OJ? LoisCane   Thu Jun 15 2006 06:25 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane trends Kimberley Clark   Thu Jun 15 2006 01:54 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane trends LoisCane   Wed Jun 14 2006 10:38 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane trends Nateball   Wed Jun 14 2006 10:49 PM

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