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Margie
Senior Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1191
Loc: Twin Cities
Re: Bud
      Wed Jul 12 2006 04:59 PM

Advisory #9 increased the intensity to 90kts. Bud has just about reached the border of 28deg C water. The well-defined eye is large in comparison to the small symmetric area of convection, but is not cleared out (a water vapor image shows that convection still lopsided in terms of intensity).

It appears on sat imagery that the eye has expanded a little and become more symmetric the last couple hours (if the eye gets any larger it is going to remind me a little of Epsilon). This may mean the structure is more stable, which will enable the storm to continue to hold together nicely over the next day or two, with intensity dropping off slowly. With water temperatures decreasing, it doesn't appear that convection will be able to ramp up enough to push the winds up to 100 kts. The diurnal max in about 10-12 hours will be the last call for this to happen, but the convection may have lost ground by then and will just be playing catch up to the current intensity.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Invest 98E Margie Wed Jul 12 2006 04:59 PM
. * * now 03E NONAME Margie   Sun Jul 09 2006 12:30 PM
. * * TD-Three-E Margie   Mon Jul 10 2006 11:27 PM
. * * Re: TD-Three-E cieldumort   Tue Jul 11 2006 02:16 AM
. * * Re: TD-Three-E Margie   Tue Jul 11 2006 03:57 PM
. * * Re: TD-Three-E Margie   Tue Jul 11 2006 07:22 PM
. * * Re: TD-Three-E cieldumort   Tue Jul 11 2006 07:45 PM
. * * Re: TD-Three-E Margie   Tue Jul 11 2006 09:57 PM
. * * Re: TD-Three-E Margie   Wed Jul 12 2006 12:35 AM
. * * Re: TD-Three-E Margie   Wed Jul 12 2006 10:55 AM
. * * Bud Margie   Wed Jul 12 2006 12:57 PM
. * * Re: Bud Margie   Wed Jul 12 2006 04:59 PM
. * * Re: Bud Margie   Wed Jul 12 2006 10:46 PM
. * * Re: Bud cieldumort   Thu Jul 13 2006 12:10 AM
. * * Re: Bud cieldumort   Thu Jul 13 2006 03:01 AM
. * * Re: Bud Margie   Thu Jul 13 2006 07:44 AM
. * * Re: Bud cieldumort   Thu Jul 13 2006 05:32 PM
. * * Re: Bud nl   Thu Jul 13 2006 09:29 AM
. * * Re: Bud cieldumort   Thu Jul 13 2006 05:30 PM

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