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With today's 5PM NHC #HurricaneBeryl update, the U.S. is now officially in the cone for the first time. Jamaica to Mexico to Texas.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 308 (Idalia) , Major: 308 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 308 (Idalia) Major: 308 (Idalia)
Hur Beryl
ADV#22A 7:00 am EDT
18.3N 80.1W
Wind: 125MPH
Pres: 965mb
Moving:
Wnw at 21 mph
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Clark
Meteorologist


Reged:
Posts: 1710
Re: new system--91L/daniel
      Sun Jul 16 2006 09:20 PM

It seems to me as though the NHC is a little more hesitant to upgrade waves to depressions in the E. Pacific as compared to the Atlantic. Maybe it's the lack of recon flights, maybe it's apathy, I'm not sure -- but it does seem like it takes a bit more organization to get something in the E. Pacific. I don't have any hard stats to back this up, but it seems to me (from memory) that almost all E. Pacific depressions ultimately become tropical storms, whereas this is not the case in the Atlantic.

In the NHC's favor, it seems as though what obs. they do have do not support depression status for many of those features, whether QuikScat winds & wind speeds or satellite intensity estimates. This one should get the upgrade soon enough and ultimately become a tropical storm and possibly hurricane, but I think you can easily make a case for something as of 5a this morning.

There's another one behind it, too, that has a shot over the next 3-5 days...assuming this one doesn't become large and inhibit the other's development due to excessive outflow/shear. It seems like E. Pacific activity comes and goes in spurts, but this one is getting on up there.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* new system--91L/daniel HanKFranK Sun Jul 16 2006 09:20 PM
. * * Re: new system--91L/daniel Spoken   Thu Jul 20 2006 04:09 AM
. * * Re: new system--91L/daniel sara33   Sat Jul 22 2006 06:59 PM
. * * Re: new system--91L/daniel Storm Hunter   Sun Jul 23 2006 05:00 PM
. * * daniel goes down HanKFranK   Tue Jul 25 2006 12:54 PM
. * * Re: daniel goes down bobw211   Wed Jul 26 2006 11:34 AM
. * * daniel comes up? HanKFranK   Fri Jul 28 2006 01:39 AM
. * * Re: new system--91L/daniel cieldumort   Mon Jul 17 2006 12:28 AM
. * * Re: new system--91L/daniel Clark   Sun Jul 16 2006 09:20 PM

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