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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 284 (Idalia) , Major: 284 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 284 (Idalia) Major: 284 (Idalia)
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Archives 2002-2009 >> 2006 Forecast Lounge
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Hugh
Senior Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1060
Loc: Okaloosa County, Florida
GOM Blob
      Tue Aug 15 2006 10:52 PM

Quote:

cause I probably got it all wrong, I think a serious storm will head initially west, then over the next couple days head sw, and on or about three days from now make a loop and head towards the sw and end up on the western shores of Florida in about 6 to 7 days from now. Further, I do not see much happening with



The cluster is already well west of Florida. How is it going to continue moving west and southwest and end up on the western shores of Florida in a week?

Based upon the current satellite image, I don't think development is likely in the near term. IF it were to develop, I'd expect it to pretty much sit where it is until the front come down and picks it up. Final destination, probably east of New Orleans to somewhere around the Big Bend area. If the front doesn't pick it up, it might just move west into Texas, or dissipate (most likely I think).

--------------------
Hugh

Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)


Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Azores SebastianLou Tue Aug 15 2006 10:52 PM
. * * GOM Blob Hugh   Tue Aug 15 2006 10:52 PM
. * * Re: GOM Blob SebastianLou   Tue Aug 15 2006 11:20 PM
. * * Re: GOM Blob HanKFranK   Tue Aug 15 2006 11:27 PM
. * * Re: GOM Blob madmumbler   Tue Aug 15 2006 10:55 PM
. * * Re: GOM Blob cieldumort   Tue Aug 15 2006 11:43 PM
. * * Re: GOM Blob Hugh   Wed Aug 16 2006 12:00 AM
. * * Re: GOM Blob cieldumort   Wed Aug 16 2006 12:19 AM
. * * Re: GOM Blob Hugh   Wed Aug 16 2006 12:23 AM
. * * Re: GOM Blob cieldumort   Wed Aug 16 2006 01:24 AM
. * * Re: GOM Blob Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Aug 16 2006 01:12 AM
. * * Just A Reminder Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Aug 16 2006 01:57 AM
. * * Re: GOM Blob Storm Cooper   Wed Aug 16 2006 01:25 AM
. * * Re: GOM Blob Hugh   Wed Aug 16 2006 01:51 AM
. * * 95L Colleen A.   Wed Aug 16 2006 02:32 AM
. * * Re: GOM Blob yomelmer   Tue Aug 15 2006 11:49 PM
. * * Re: GOM Blob Hugh   Tue Aug 15 2006 11:18 PM

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