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The 2024 season is officially over after a brutal number of landfals, a stunning rampup in the back-half and a record-early Cat 5.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 56 (Milton) , Major: 56 (Milton) Florida - Any: 56 (Milton) Major: 56 (Milton)
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Archives 2002-2009 >> 2006 Forecast Lounge
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HanKFranK
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Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
Re: GOM Blob
      Tue Aug 15 2006 07:27 PM

there is no reason that thing would do anything except take a general westward heading. unless sebastianlou has a hurricane tractor beam in his back yard. climatologically speaking this time of year florida doesn't get hit from that direction unless you've got a deep late summer trough digging in over the mississippi valley. they're stuck under a big hot ridge over there, so no dice.
the initial burst cooled and secondaries are going off in a ring on the western semicircle. some additional cells fired on the eastern side, too. all it is right now is a convective burst near a wind-shift.
the thing in the western atlantic... again, nice circulation at the low levels, nice upper air profile... no convection, really. it hasn't really changed all day. until it starts blowing deep convection, it's a can of corn.
HF 2327z15august

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Azores SebastianLou Tue Aug 15 2006 07:27 PM
. * * GOM Blob Hugh   Tue Aug 15 2006 06:52 PM
. * * Re: GOM Blob SebastianLou   Tue Aug 15 2006 07:20 PM
. * * Re: GOM Blob HanKFranK   Tue Aug 15 2006 07:27 PM
. * * Re: GOM Blob madmumbler   Tue Aug 15 2006 06:55 PM
. * * Re: GOM Blob cieldumort   Tue Aug 15 2006 07:43 PM
. * * Re: GOM Blob Hugh   Tue Aug 15 2006 08:00 PM
. * * Re: GOM Blob cieldumort   Tue Aug 15 2006 08:19 PM
. * * Re: GOM Blob Hugh   Tue Aug 15 2006 08:23 PM
. * * Re: GOM Blob cieldumort   Tue Aug 15 2006 09:24 PM
. * * Re: GOM Blob Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Aug 15 2006 09:12 PM
. * * Just A Reminder Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Aug 15 2006 09:57 PM
. * * Re: GOM Blob Storm Cooper   Tue Aug 15 2006 09:25 PM
. * * Re: GOM Blob Hugh   Tue Aug 15 2006 09:51 PM
. * * 95L Colleen A.   Tue Aug 15 2006 10:32 PM
. * * Re: GOM Blob yomelmer   Tue Aug 15 2006 07:49 PM
. * * Re: GOM Blob Hugh   Tue Aug 15 2006 07:18 PM

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