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Archives 2002-2009 >> 2006 Forecast Lounge
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RevUp
Weather Guru


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Posts: 181
Re: Hurricane Ernesto track
      Sun Aug 27 2006 11:33 AM

So, the UL trough is hanging tough against Ernesto, although not enough to diminish its intensity. This is a dramatic change, and the change in the forecast models over the last 24 hours is remarkable. The history of Ernesto and previous forecast tracks are quite amazing! Do you realize the forecast errors for Ernesto beyond 72 hours? Ernesto is one of the reasons these avg forecast errors are so large -- and it's not done yet. At this point, I expect the CENTER of Ernesto to never make landfall in the U.S., although the entire SE US coast will get some rough surf. The subtropical ridge is retreating quickly. After getting torn up crossing Cuba, I believe Ernesto will strengthen to a cat III off the E coast of FL before zooming off to the NE.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Hurricane Ernesto track allan Sun Aug 27 2006 11:33 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ernesto track lagirl   Tue Aug 29 2006 10:59 AM
. * * Hurricane Ernesto track debwire   Sun Aug 27 2006 11:26 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ernesto track Bob Dag   Sun Aug 27 2006 01:34 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ernesto track hofloka   Sun Aug 27 2006 02:14 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ernesto track Judes   Sun Aug 27 2006 02:26 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ernesto track chase 22   Sun Aug 27 2006 03:12 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ernesto track Wxwatcher2   Sun Aug 27 2006 10:43 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ernesto track tester   Sun Aug 27 2006 10:59 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ernesto track Rasvar   Sun Aug 27 2006 10:46 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ernesto track hofloka   Sun Aug 27 2006 10:48 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ernesto track alliedj   Sun Aug 27 2006 11:01 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ernesto track Nateball   Sun Aug 27 2006 11:32 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ernesto track HumbleStormKat   Mon Aug 28 2006 01:21 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ernesto track Colleen A.   Mon Aug 28 2006 12:40 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ernesto track twizted sizter   Sun Aug 27 2006 11:01 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ernesto track RevUp   Sun Aug 27 2006 11:33 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ernesto track ShreddedUmbrella   Sun Aug 27 2006 12:45 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ernesto track JMII   Sun Aug 27 2006 01:54 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ernesto track sdear   Sun Aug 27 2006 01:15 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ernesto track ltpat228   Sun Aug 27 2006 01:13 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ernesto track cuidado   Sun Aug 27 2006 11:22 AM

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