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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 276 (Idalia) , Major: 276 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 276 (Idalia) Major: 276 (Idalia)
 


Archives 2002-2009 >> 2006 Forecast Lounge

pcola
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 344
Loc: pensacola/gulf breeze
Re: Ernesto Over Cuba
      Mon Aug 28 2006 06:07 PM

The 18 z models runs are shifting back to the west, with the GFDL and the UKMET (12z) taking the storm into the Gulf and heading up the west coast....it is safe to say that the models are having a tough time getting a grip on Ernesto..with the pressure up to over 1000 mb, and a weakening storm over Cuba...anything goes....until we get a new discussion from the NHC, everything is guesswork..it does look like the high is holding and will force Ernesto wnw..the question is how much of Ernesto survives, and how long to redevelope....if at all

--------------------
Erin 95 , Opal 95, Ivan 04, Dennis 05, and that's enough!!!!

Edited by pcola (Mon Aug 28 2006 06:08 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Ernesto Over Cuba doug Mon Aug 28 2006 06:07 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Cuba nc_tropical_wx79   Mon Aug 28 2006 05:14 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Cuba pcola   Mon Aug 28 2006 05:25 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Cuba *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* force2005   Mon Aug 28 2006 05:53 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Cuba nc_tropical_wx79   Mon Aug 28 2006 05:58 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Cuba pcola   Mon Aug 28 2006 06:07 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Cuba addicted2caine   Mon Aug 28 2006 08:18 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Cuba Storm Cooper   Mon Aug 28 2006 08:22 PM
. * * Re: Ernesto Over Cuba inHISgrip   Mon Aug 28 2006 05:38 PM

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