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92L now up to a 60% chance for development. Recon out there but just under the threshhold for classification, may become a TD later today.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 296 (Idalia) , Major: 296 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 296 (Idalia) Major: 296 (Idalia)
Rem Alberto
ADV#13 10:00 pm EDT
22.3N 102.0W
Wind: 30MPH
Pres: 1000mb
Moving:
W at 24 mph
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cieldumort
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Posts: 2320
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Major Hurricane John Setting Sights on Baja - Several top models shift hard right
      Fri Sep 01 2006 10:00 PM

Lots of reasons to argue that the weakness in the High will allow him to move more NNW or NW than WNW or W, and possibly even make a right at some point. For now, his track appears to be generally on a level very similar to 2003's Marty.

NWS offices in Arizona are already including special verbiage to account for the possibility of thunderstorms with heavy rain. After 1997's Nora PR disaster, it would seem that everyone is treading carefully, of course.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Major Hurricane John Setting Sights on Baja - Several top models shift hard right cieldumort Fri Sep 01 2006 10:00 PM
. * * Re: Major Hurricane John Setting Sights on Baja - Several top models shift hard right vpbob21   Fri Sep 01 2006 07:25 PM
. * * Re: Major Hurricane John Setting Sights on Baja - Several top models shift hard right cieldumort   Sun Sep 03 2006 03:37 AM
. * * Re: Major Hurricane John Setting Sights on Baja - Several top models shift hard right cieldumort   Fri Sep 01 2006 10:00 PM

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