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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Milton) , Major: 42 (Milton) Florida - Any: 42 (Milton) Major: 42 (Milton)
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typhoon_tip
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Re: TD #6 in Central Atlantic; some prelimary thoughts.
      Mon Sep 04 2006 10:32 AM

It's definitely true regarding long trackers, vs a storm such as Bob ('91). There is a propensity there for them to coincidently enter an eyewall replacement cycle near the latitude of Bermuda, after which, the trough that is approaching the EC (which is also necessary to capture in one form or another), imposes some kind of shear at a vulnerable time... Thus, the re-intensification prospects after replacement are irreparably harmed. Isabel is an example of this, but also had a random dry air insert near the GA/FL Coastal waters; that got involved and didn't help. Gloria in '86 did this, too... It was 155mph near 55W and when it was recurving it suddenly weakened to Category 2 or something less exciting like that..

Still, despite the climate behavior and the reasoning behind it... it is not impossible that one day something unique could transpire - as you also alluded. Think of '38 in New England, and Blue Hill had sustained 180mph winds because a category 3 hurricane was moving at nearly 50mph when it fisted into the bowls of SNE like astroid impact..

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* TD #6 in Central Atlantic; some prelimary thoughts. typhoon_tip Mon Sep 04 2006 10:32 AM
. * * Re: so we are basically waiting - not a storm at 5 scottsvb   Tue Sep 05 2006 11:58 AM
. * * Re: TD #6 in Central Atlantic; some prelimary thoughts. inHISgrip   Sun Sep 03 2006 10:20 PM
. * * Re: TD #6 in Central Atlantic; some prelimary thoughts. typhoon_tip   Sun Sep 03 2006 10:25 PM
. * * Re: TD #6 in Central Atlantic; some prelimary thoughts. craigm   Sun Sep 03 2006 10:42 PM
. * * Re: TD #6 in Central Atlantic; some prelimary thoughts. Clark   Sun Sep 03 2006 10:19 PM
. * * Re: TD #6 in Central Atlantic; some prelimary thoughts. typhoon_tip   Sun Sep 03 2006 10:50 PM
. * * Re: TD #6 in Central Atlantic; some prelimary thoughts. Steve H1   Sun Sep 03 2006 11:58 PM
. * * Re: TD #6 in Central Atlantic; some prelimary thoughts. HanKFranK   Mon Sep 04 2006 12:54 AM
. * * Re: TD #6 in Central Atlantic; some prelimary thoughts. typhoon_tip   Mon Sep 04 2006 10:32 AM
. * * Re: TD #6 in Central Atlantic; some prelimary thoughts. inHISgrip   Tue Sep 05 2006 08:58 AM
. * * Re: TD #6 in Central Atlantic; some prelimary thoughts. Clark   Sun Sep 03 2006 11:35 PM

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