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The 2024 season is officially over after a brutal number of landfals, a stunning rampup in the back-half and a record-early Cat 5.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 55 (Milton) , Major: 55 (Milton) Florida - Any: 55 (Milton) Major: 55 (Milton)
 


Archives 2002-2009 >> 2006 Forecast Lounge

typhoon_tip
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Posts: 576
Re: Hurricane Florence???
      Tue Sep 05 2006 12:32 PM

Strongly suspect/suggest that the largeness of the circulation envelope is partial for why it survives to upgrade status when the convective morphology is so disrupted looking..

Which...no one sensible would argue! It does look a little ragged, doesn't it?

But, there is a tremendous amount of mass caught up in cyclonic curl with this system already and enough convection to persist to help excite. It is safe to note that larger systems are notoriously more capable of fending off hostilities in their environments... Considering the shear is unanimously, by all models and reasonable analysis therein, predicted to lesson, the immediate history of Flo's ability to survive can and should be taken into consideration...

But, agreed - it would be nice to see the convection really wrap bodily around the rotation before getting too excited.

Edited by typhoon_tip (Tue Sep 05 2006 12:34 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Hurricane Florence??? Ed DunhamAdministrator Tue Sep 05 2006 12:32 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Florence??? tuxer   Tue Sep 05 2006 10:49 PM
. * * Re: Florence is looking better scottsvb   Tue Sep 05 2006 02:22 PM
. * * Re: Florence is looking better typhoon_tip   Tue Sep 05 2006 02:48 PM
. * * Re: Florence is looking better hisnamewas   Tue Sep 05 2006 08:39 PM
. * * Re: Florence is looking better Bee-Beep   Tue Sep 05 2006 08:56 PM
. * * Re: Florence is looking better HanKFranK   Tue Sep 05 2006 10:02 PM
. * * Tropical Storm Florence Ryan   Tue Sep 05 2006 12:16 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Florence typhoon_tip   Tue Sep 05 2006 12:26 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Florence??? Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Sep 04 2006 06:16 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Florence??? vpbob21   Mon Sep 04 2006 06:34 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Florence??? Storm Cooper   Mon Sep 04 2006 04:41 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Florence??? stormchazer   Mon Sep 04 2006 08:58 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Florence??? cieldumort   Tue Sep 05 2006 04:43 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Florence??? Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Sep 05 2006 08:07 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Florence??? Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Sep 10 2006 08:01 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Florence??? typhoon_tip   Tue Sep 05 2006 12:32 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Florence??? GuppieGrouper   Mon Sep 04 2006 05:50 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Florence??? Bee-Beep   Mon Sep 04 2006 02:57 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Florence??? Clark   Mon Sep 04 2006 11:18 AM

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