Gray is out only 2 Oct sotms

From the afternoon HPC, there will be a low off the mid-Atlantic coast by late week. No mention of tropical, but the graphs show a system retrgogading to the coast. What does everyone make of this?

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/medr.shtml#final

A bit more from the Wakefield Va NWS discussion:

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...COLD FRONT ENTERS INTO THE GULF
STREAM SOUTH OF THE CAROLINAS. ALL MEDIUM-RANGE GUIDANCE INDICATE A
CLOSED UPPER LOW DEVELOPING OVER THE MID ATLANTIC STATES THIS
WEEKEND. AN ASSOCIATED SFC LOW WILL LIKELY DEVELOP...THOUGH THERE IS
STILL PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE MAGNITUDE AND POSITION OF ITS
DEEPENING. HENCE...TRENDED POPS UP FROM PREVIOUS FCST...THOUGH NOT
AS HIGH AS HPC. THE CLOSER TO THE COAST THE LOW DEVELOPS...THE
WETTER AND CLOUDIER IT WILL BE. IF THE LOW DEVELOPS JUST A LITTLE
FURTHER OFFSHORE...WEATHER WILL FAIR AND WARMER...WITH NWLY FLOW AND
SUBSIDENCE. MEANWHILE...GUIDANCE STILL HAS A STRONG SFC HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKING THROUGH UPSTATE NY...AND OFF THE NEW
ENGLAND COAST. THE SET UP COULD BE SOME STRONG NELY WINDS SAT AND
SUN (SEE MARINE DISCUSSION BELOW). TEMPS ALSO MORE CONTINGENT ON
POSITION OF LOW...WITH AT OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPS EXPECTED.
AGAIN ONLY TRENDED TOWARD HPC GUIDANCE FOR TEMPS.

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Survived Carol and Edna '54 in Maine. Guess this kind of dates me!

Edited by Ed in Va (Tue Oct 03 2006 03:23 PM)

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