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We are closely tracking Tropical Storm #Milton forecast to be a very dangerous hurricane as it strikes Florida mid next week #Flwx Flhurricane.com
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 8 (Helene) , Major: 8 (Helene) Florida - Any: 8 (Helene) Major: 8 (Helene)
Hur Kirk
ADV#25 11:00 am EDT
27.6N 50.3W
Wind: 120MPH
Pres: 949mb
Moving:
N at 16 mph
Click for Storm Spotlight
Hur Leslie
ADV#13 11:00 am EDT
11.1N 35.4W
Wind: 80MPH
Pres: 985mb
Moving:
Wnw at 7 mph
Click for Storm Spotlight
TS Milton
ADV#1A 1:15 pm EDT
22.3N 95.3W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 1007mb
Moving:
Nne at 3 mph
Click for Storm Spotlight
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Archives 2002-2009 >> 2006 Forecast Lounge
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Clark
Meteorologist


Reged:
Posts: 1710
Re: Nothing Much Going On...
      Tue Oct 10 2006 10:36 PM

The long-range GFS isn't reliable in the least, particularly at time frames of 15-16 days as posted there. It's more for general climate patterns than anything; all models, including the GFS, have enough trouble predicting things right in one week, yet alone two.

Further, the system that it develops there is decidedly baroclinic/non-tropical. Note the orientation of the dashed contours, the thickness lines -- they are oriented as seen with warm and cold fronts throughout. The precipitation distribution is indicative of an extratropical cyclone as well. In other words -- nothing to get worked up about.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Nothing Much Going On... Hurricane29 Tue Oct 10 2006 10:36 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Much Going On... Clark   Tue Oct 10 2006 10:36 PM
. * * Re: Nothing Much Going On... SebaswLouis   Mon Oct 09 2006 08:33 PM

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