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vpbob21
Weather Guru


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Posts: 115
Loc: Ohio
Re: Invest 97C
      Thu Oct 12 2006 04:14 AM

It figures, as soon as I post about a possible cen pac system 97C goes belly-up, convection just puffed out and the system dropped south into the ITCZ. I guess its a typical central Pacific system ... everything has to line up perfectly to get a storm going out here. Actually seems to have made a bit of a comeback today, deep convection has been pretty persistent around a circulation center around 8/164. Even the normally hyperaggressive GFDL has pretty much given up on it, but if it can get further north it might not be dead yet. Most of the models that see it actually take it ENE south of the Hawaiian Islands then curve it north east of the Big Island.

Further east, we lost Norman yesterday and although Olivia survived the 11:00 advisory, she probably won't last past 5:00. Lots of SW shear across this area. GFS keeps wanting to develop a system and move it NW off Mexico then turn it N to near the southern tip of Baja California in about a week, so still some stuff to watch in the tropics.

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* Invest 97C vpbob21 Thu Oct 12 2006 04:14 AM
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