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#Beryl now at 65mph. Now Forecast to be a Major Hurricane near the Windwards on Monday.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 304 (Idalia) , Major: 304 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 304 (Idalia) Major: 304 (Idalia)
TS Beryl
ADV#3A 1:00 pm EDT
9.8N 46.8W
Wind: 60MPH
Pres: 999mb
Moving:
W at 21 mph
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cieldumort
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Loc: Austin, Tx
East Pac Paul is born - Models support Baja/NW Mexico landfall w/ moisture into Southwest
      Fri Oct 20 2006 07:39 PM

"TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 PM PDT FRI OCT 20 2006

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 230 MILES SOUTH OF
MANZANILLO MEXICO REMAINS WELL-ORGANIZED AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COULD FORM AT ANY TIME. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 MPH FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO."




As of this entry (10/20/06 4:30 PM PST) FSU's MM5, GFDL & the NAM-WRF all want to develop this 92e into a respectable tropical cyclone, and take it into or just south of the southern tip of Baja. That is some impressive agreement this far in advance among three of the most respectable models.

--------------------
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(Moderna x2)

Edited by cieldumort (Sat Oct 21 2006 01:39 PM)

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* East Pac Paul is born - Models support Baja/NW Mexico landfall w/ moisture into Southwest cieldumort Fri Oct 20 2006 07:39 PM
. * * Latest forecast from NHC indicates Baja gets hit by Hurricane Paul cieldumort   Mon Oct 23 2006 02:08 AM
. * * Re: Latest forecast from NHC indicates Baja gets hit by Hurricane Paul Storm Cooper   Mon Oct 23 2006 06:29 AM
. * * Re: Latest forecast from NHC indicates Baja gets hit by Hurricane Paul cieldumort   Wed Oct 25 2006 01:33 AM

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