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cieldumort
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Reged: Mon
Posts: 2016
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Still Quiet
      Mon Nov 20 2006 12:07 PM

It appears that there is something in the Caribbean perhaps worth their time to slap an Invest tag on, afterall. This morning's RGB loop (time sensitive) does suggest some subtle cyclonic turning, but it does not yet appear to be rooted at the surface. Additionally, pressures are not falling. In fact, if anything, they may be a tad higher now that a weak wave has pushed through, and is washing out over land. Shear is fairly high in the area, and increases to painfully high just a jog to the north of this possible Invest area. Perhaps if shear overhead slackens a little bit more there may be some slim window of opportunity to congeal into something significant at the surface, but as it is, it looks to me that shear is still a little bit too high.

Floater 1 is up over this.

From the mid-day TWD:
"THE CARIBBEAN SEA....
UNSETTLED WEATHER IS ASSOCIATED
WITH A SFC TROUGH WHICH EXTENDS FROM THE ATLC ACROSS THE BAHAMAS
ALONG 21N73W 17N79W 11N80W. A 1048 UTC QSCAT PASS INDICATED A
PRONOUNCED WIND SHIFT WHERE NLY 20-25 KT WINDS ARE COMMON W OF
THE TROUGH AXIS AND LIGHTER E TO NE WINDS ARE E OF THE AXIS. IN
ADDITION...VISIBLE IMAGES SHOW MID-LEVEL ROTATION IN THE CLOUDS
NEAR 16N80W. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT A SFC LOW PRES SYSTEM MAY BE
FORMING IN THAT VICINITY."

--------------------
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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Still Quiet Ed DunhamAdministrator Mon Nov 20 2006 12:07 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet cieldumort   Sun Nov 26 2006 12:37 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet allan   Sat Nov 25 2006 03:45 PM
. * * 95L ltpat228   Sat Nov 25 2006 12:53 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet ElizabethH   Sat Nov 25 2006 08:52 AM
. * * Re: Still Quiet cieldumort   Sat Nov 25 2006 02:59 AM
. * * Re: Still Quiet Storm Cooper   Fri Nov 24 2006 09:32 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet Cat 5orBust   Fri Nov 24 2006 09:22 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet ltpat228   Fri Nov 24 2006 03:00 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet Old Sailor   Fri Nov 24 2006 02:33 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet cieldumort   Fri Nov 24 2006 01:08 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet Storm Cooper   Fri Nov 24 2006 11:41 AM
. * * Re: Still Quiet Storm Cooper   Wed Nov 22 2006 09:29 AM
. * * Re: Still Quiet cieldumort   Mon Nov 20 2006 12:07 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet cieldumort   Mon Nov 13 2006 03:44 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet GuppieGrouper   Mon Nov 13 2006 09:16 AM
. * * Re: Still Quiet Storm Cooper   Sun Nov 12 2006 07:20 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet Hurricane29   Sun Nov 12 2006 06:44 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet Cat 5orBust   Sun Nov 12 2006 05:02 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet danielwAdministrator   Thu Nov 09 2006 06:11 AM
. * * Re: Still Quiet dem05   Tue Nov 07 2006 10:40 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet sara33   Tue Nov 07 2006 08:41 PM
. * * Re: Still Quiet Storm Cooper   Mon Nov 06 2006 05:31 PM

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