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Alberto moving into Mexico, but large windfield causing surge flooding along Texas Coast. Also Invest 92L now being tracked east of the Bahamas.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 295 (Idalia) , Major: 295 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 295 (Idalia) Major: 295 (Idalia)
Alberto
ADV#12 4:00 pm EDT
22.3N 99.4W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 999mb
Moving:
W at 18 mph
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General Discussion >> Hurricane Ask/Tell
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Bee-Beep
Verified CFHC User


Reged:
Posts: 21
Loc: Naples, FL.
Re: 2006/2007
      Fri Mar 09 2007 05:15 AM

What can we expect SSTs(Sea Surface Temperature's) to do in the coming months? NOAA's SST forecast for the peak months of hurricane season (August, September, and October) projects a continuation of the above-normal SSTs at about 0.5 ºC above normal. This is a lot of extra energy to fuel intense hurricanes, but not nearly as extreme as the 1-2 ºC above normal SSTs observed in 2005. While it is impossible to predict what the trade winds might do over the next few months, a sustained weakening of the trade winds for many months is an event that is unlikely.

The next key question is--what will the steering pattern be for 2007? Will there be a trough of low pressure over the Eastern U.S. that recurves storms out to sea, as happened in 2006? Or, will a ridge of high pressure set up, steering hurricanes into the Caribbean, Florida, and U.S. Gulf coast, as happened in 2004 and 2005?
A lot of uncertainties at this current time but we know one thing for sure, La Nina is back ...
It will be an interesting season to say the least!

(Post moved to a more appropriate Forum. Note that the questions that you ask would be difficult for even a seasoned meteorologist to answer with any degree of accuracy. Final pattern development is still a few months away.)

Edited by Ed Dunham (Fri Mar 09 2007 10:49 PM)

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Questions on El Nino sara33 Fri Mar 09 2007 05:15 AM
. * * Re: 2006/2007 Bee-Beep   Fri Mar 09 2007 05:15 AM
. * * Re: 2006/2007 Clark   Sun Mar 11 2007 01:49 AM
. * * Re: Questions on El Nino Hurricane29   Mon Feb 26 2007 04:11 AM
. * * Re: Questions on El Nino madmumbler   Wed Feb 28 2007 12:07 AM
. * * 2007 Season Forecasts danielwAdministrator   Mon Feb 26 2007 01:44 AM

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