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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 301 (Idalia) , Major: 301 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 301 (Idalia) Major: 301 (Idalia)
 


General Discussion >> Hurricane Ask/Tell

Clark
Meteorologist


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Posts: 1710
Re: 2006/2007
      Sat Mar 10 2007 08:49 PM

There are certain wintertime weather patterns across North America and the North Atlantic Ocean that have been shown to have some impact on tropical cyclone tracks and formation regions in the summer and fall months, but oftentimes these are based on seasonal activity (rather than specific weather patterns) and only account for about 20-30% of the variability in storm formation and movement at best.

Unfortunately, the best answer is probably thus the one that Ed gave in his edit to your post -- it's pretty early to speculate on weather patterns and storm tracks this far out. That may not stop the media from looking at where the Bermuda High may set up in April and put out some articles saying the East coast is under the gun, but the articles don't really tell you anything but they aren't really correct. The East coast is always under the gun and the location of the Bermuda High in April has a very small impact on one storm's track in July-September.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Questions on El Nino sara33 Sat Mar 10 2007 08:49 PM
. * * Re: 2006/2007 Bee-Beep   Fri Mar 09 2007 12:15 AM
. * * Re: 2006/2007 Clark   Sat Mar 10 2007 08:49 PM
. * * Re: Questions on El Nino Hurricane29   Sun Feb 25 2007 11:11 PM
. * * Re: Questions on El Nino madmumbler   Tue Feb 27 2007 07:07 PM
. * * 2007 Season Forecasts danielwAdministrator   Sun Feb 25 2007 08:44 PM

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