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General Discussion >> Hurricane Ask/Tell

Clark
Meteorologist

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Posts: 1710

Re: 2006/2007
Sun Mar 11 2007 01:49 AM

There are certain wintertime weather patterns across North America and the North Atlantic Ocean that have been shown to have some impact on tropical cyclone tracks and formation regions in the summer and fall months, but oftentimes these are based on seasonal activity (rather than specific weather patterns) and only account for about 20-30% of the variability in storm formation and movement at best.

Unfortunately, the best answer is probably thus the one that Ed gave in his edit to your post -- it's pretty early to speculate on weather patterns and storm tracks this far out. That may not stop the media from looking at where the Bermuda High may set up in April and put out some articles saying the East coast is under the gun, but the articles don't really tell you anything but they aren't really correct. The East coast is always under the gun and the location of the Bermuda High in April has a very small impact on one storm's track in July-September.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Questions on El Nino	sara33	Sun Mar 11 2007 01:49 AM
Re: 2006/2007	Bee-Beep	Fri Mar 09 2007 05:15 AM
Re: 2006/2007	Clark	Sun Mar 11 2007 01:49 AM
Re: Questions on El Nino	Hurricane29	Mon Feb 26 2007 04:11 AM
Re: Questions on El Nino	madmumbler	Wed Feb 28 2007 12:07 AM
2007 Season Forecasts	danielw	Mon Feb 26 2007 01:44 AM

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