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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 300 (Idalia) , Major: 300 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 300 (Idalia) Major: 300 (Idalia)
 


General Discussion >> Hurricane Ask/Tell

dem05
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Posts: 368
Loc: Port Charlotte, FL
Re: African Dust - good/bad?
      Tue Apr 03 2007 03:18 AM

In general, I have to go with Clark with this one. Recently, I revisited a video composed by Mr.McElroy of Charley's before, during and after of Hurricane Charley in Charlotte County. For those who still have it, you will notice in the satellite intro of Charley. In it, you will see this hurricane while it was a TD out by the Windwards. At that time, it had a large plume of dust just ahead (just to the west) and to the north of it. Charley slowly and steadly intensified in the Carribean, but became a monster in the Gulf...under a different set of dynamics. Last years SAL project by the Verdes was interesting to hear about. I haven't seen the results, but I'd propose funding for this research during neutral El Nino conditions and La Nina conditions to get a better picture of dust influence. Finally, I think we will need to rely on our meteorological researchers to make the relationships between this dust and the other overall weather patterns. If you have been tracking and researching hurricanes as long as I, you will know that there is no one true smoking gun...In reading the forecasts for next season, you will also not that nobdy mentions dust, but they all back their forcasts heavily on one indicator or another...It is further proof that this science has further to grow.

In the mean time, hope all is well and everyone is considering their seasonal preparednes plan. It doeslooklike a lengthy season at this point.


Edited by dem05 (Tue Apr 03 2007 03:22 AM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* African Dust - good/bad? madmumbler Tue Apr 03 2007 03:18 AM
. * * Re: African Dust - good/bad? Clark   Tue Mar 27 2007 11:37 PM
. * * Re: African Dust - good/bad? allan   Wed Mar 28 2007 02:33 PM
. * * Re: African Dust - good/bad? sara33   Wed Mar 28 2007 10:48 PM
. * * Re: African Dust - good/bad? Hurricane29   Thu Mar 29 2007 10:04 AM
. * * Re: African Dust - good/bad? dem05   Tue Apr 03 2007 03:18 AM
. * * Re: African Dust - good/bad? madmumbler   Wed Apr 04 2007 01:14 PM
. * * Re: African Dust - good/bad? dem05   Fri Apr 06 2007 01:26 AM
. * * Re: African Dust - good/bad? Clark   Fri Apr 13 2007 01:09 PM
. * * Re: African Dust - good/bad? madmumbler   Fri Apr 13 2007 07:29 PM
. * * Re: African Dust - good/bad? madmumbler   Fri Apr 06 2007 05:24 PM
. * * Re: African Dust - good/bad? danielwAdministrator   Thu Mar 29 2007 02:28 AM

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