Today marks the start of the Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season. Atlantic Outlooks also begin today.
Days since last Hurricane Landfall —
US Any:
590 (Milton),
US Major:
590 (Milton),
FL Any:
590 (Milton),
FL Major:
590 (Milton)
allan
Weather Master
Reged:
Posts: 468
Loc: Palm Coast, Florida
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NOGAPS - Florida Tropical Storm??
Fri May 04 2007 04:16 AM
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NOGAPS and other models predict either a sub-tropical or a pure tropical storm (maybe hurricane) developing in a few days in the Bahamas. This is interesting, I look at the NOGAPS and it shows it getting near hurricane strength, then dies out when it gets to Florida. GFS has it going to Bermuda and becoming extra-tropical. CMC model has it heading to the Carolinas as a strong TS, and the UKMET was the one who started it all, has it going to NY probably as a weak extra-tropical storm but hitting the Carolines as a strong TS or minimal Hurricane (according to the lowest pressure). May not even be tropical.. May just be a strong potent low off the Florida coastline.. still something to watch. Heres the link to the very interesting NOGAPS http://www.nwmangum.com/NOGAPS.phtml#120
Now here's the link to all the models that show this interesting scenario.. http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/
I really don't know what to say about it, I know its not all going to be a cold core storm. It's gonna be an interesting weekend. Feedback will be great!
-------------------- Allan Reed - 18,9,5
Edited by allan (Fri May 04 2007 06:50 AM)
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