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#93L now a small better defined circulation with deep convection set to come ashore N of Tampico, MX. Recon investigating. Still 40% odds.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 298 (Idalia) , Major: 298 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 298 (Idalia) Major: 298 (Idalia)
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Lamar-Plant City
Storm Tracker


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Posts: 383
Loc: Plant City, Florida
Re: NOGAPS - Florida Tropical Storm??
      Fri May 04 2007 10:41 AM

I think that looks pretty far-fetched to me....but what do I know. Looks like it is bringing the low from our 'back-door' cold front southeastward to develop off the east coast. Don't remember when I have seen that happen, especially at this time of the year. I just don't see what is going to kick that area back southward far enough for this scenario to come true. GFS and CMC look more believable as I could see something forming farther east and north, but it would be wild to get something as close to Fla as the NOGAPS is showing at this point in the year. We will have to wait and see.....none of the NWS discussions are mentioning anything yet (wouldn't expect them to based on one model run). Have to watch those today and tomorrow. If something DOES happen, thanks for the heads-up!

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* NOGAPS - Florida Tropical Storm?? allan Fri May 04 2007 10:41 AM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Andrea Forms off Florida/Georgia Coast Genesis   Wed May 09 2007 09:46 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook ftlaudbob   Mon May 07 2007 10:22 AM
. * * Re: coastal cutoff low Lamar-Plant City   Fri May 04 2007 06:35 PM
. * * Re: coastal cutoff low allan   Fri May 04 2007 08:27 PM
. * * Re: coastal cutoff low Lamar-Plant City   Sat May 05 2007 09:14 AM
. * * Re: coastal cutoff low Lamar-Plant City   Sat May 05 2007 03:20 PM
. * * Re: coastal cutoff low allan   Sat May 05 2007 04:44 PM
. * * Re: coastal cutoff low Ricreig   Sat May 05 2007 08:34 PM
. * * Re: NOGAPS - Florida Tropical Storm?? Myles   Fri May 04 2007 01:06 PM
. * * Re: NOGAPS - Florida Tropical Storm?? Lamar-Plant City   Fri May 04 2007 02:45 PM
. * * Re: NOGAPS - Florida Tropical Storm?? Ed in Va   Fri May 04 2007 04:05 PM
. * * Re: NOGAPS - Florida Tropical Storm?? Lamar-Plant City   Fri May 04 2007 10:41 AM

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