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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 301 (Idalia) , Major: 301 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 301 (Idalia) Major: 301 (Idalia)
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Myles
Weather Hobbyist


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Posts: 80
Loc: SW FL
Re: NOGAPS - Florida Tropical Storm??
      Fri May 04 2007 01:06 PM

Only the CMC shows it making a true transition to warm core, but it looks more like a warm-core seculision then tropical development. That or it will be a very shallow tropical system since upper level shear inst too favorable. The GFS looks to have a similar scenario, except the low tracks off the SE US and then develops. The NOGAPS flirts with sub-tropical, but it will more likely(and hopefully) be a rain maker for us in FL.

The major thing for all of this is SST in that area arent even 80F yet - and I wouldnt expect Epsilons or Zetas to spart popping up yet.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* NOGAPS - Florida Tropical Storm?? allan Fri May 04 2007 01:06 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Andrea Forms off Florida/Georgia Coast Genesis   Wed May 09 2007 09:46 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook ftlaudbob   Mon May 07 2007 10:22 AM
. * * Re: coastal cutoff low Lamar-Plant City   Fri May 04 2007 06:35 PM
. * * Re: coastal cutoff low allan   Fri May 04 2007 08:27 PM
. * * Re: coastal cutoff low Lamar-Plant City   Sat May 05 2007 09:14 AM
. * * Re: coastal cutoff low Lamar-Plant City   Sat May 05 2007 03:20 PM
. * * Re: coastal cutoff low allan   Sat May 05 2007 04:44 PM
. * * Re: coastal cutoff low Ricreig   Sat May 05 2007 08:34 PM
. * * Re: NOGAPS - Florida Tropical Storm?? Myles   Fri May 04 2007 01:06 PM
. * * Re: NOGAPS - Florida Tropical Storm?? Lamar-Plant City   Fri May 04 2007 02:45 PM
. * * Re: NOGAPS - Florida Tropical Storm?? Ed in Va   Fri May 04 2007 04:05 PM
. * * Re: NOGAPS - Florida Tropical Storm?? Lamar-Plant City   Fri May 04 2007 10:41 AM

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