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NHC advisories to begin shortly on Storm 01L (Potential Tropical Cyclone 01L) in the Western Gulf. Elsewhere, low east of Bahamas being tracked.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 292 (Idalia) , Major: 292 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 292 (Idalia) Major: 292 (Idalia)
Ptnl One
ADV#1A 8:00 pm EDT
20.5N 93.0W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 999mb
Moving:
Nnw at 7 mph
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General Discussion >> The Tropics Today
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Myles
Weather Hobbyist


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Posts: 80
Loc: SW FL
Re: NOGAPS - Florida Tropical Storm??
      Fri May 04 2007 05:06 PM

Only the CMC shows it making a true transition to warm core, but it looks more like a warm-core seculision then tropical development. That or it will be a very shallow tropical system since upper level shear inst too favorable. The GFS looks to have a similar scenario, except the low tracks off the SE US and then develops. The NOGAPS flirts with sub-tropical, but it will more likely(and hopefully) be a rain maker for us in FL.

The major thing for all of this is SST in that area arent even 80F yet - and I wouldnt expect Epsilons or Zetas to spart popping up yet.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* NOGAPS - Florida Tropical Storm?? allan Fri May 04 2007 05:06 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Andrea Forms off Florida/Georgia Coast Genesis   Thu May 10 2007 01:46 AM
. * * Re: The 2007 Outlook ftlaudbob   Mon May 07 2007 02:22 PM
. * * Re: coastal cutoff low Lamar-Plant City   Fri May 04 2007 10:35 PM
. * * Re: coastal cutoff low allan   Sat May 05 2007 12:27 AM
. * * Re: coastal cutoff low Lamar-Plant City   Sat May 05 2007 01:14 PM
. * * Re: coastal cutoff low Lamar-Plant City   Sat May 05 2007 07:20 PM
. * * Re: coastal cutoff low allan   Sat May 05 2007 08:44 PM
. * * Re: coastal cutoff low Ricreig   Sun May 06 2007 12:34 AM
. * * Re: NOGAPS - Florida Tropical Storm?? Myles   Fri May 04 2007 05:06 PM
. * * Re: NOGAPS - Florida Tropical Storm?? Lamar-Plant City   Fri May 04 2007 06:45 PM
. * * Re: NOGAPS - Florida Tropical Storm?? Ed in Va   Fri May 04 2007 08:05 PM
. * * Re: NOGAPS - Florida Tropical Storm?? Lamar-Plant City   Fri May 04 2007 02:41 PM

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