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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 300 (Idalia) , Major: 300 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 300 (Idalia) Major: 300 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks
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HanKFranK
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Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
hybrid watch
      Sat May 05 2007 07:03 PM

some of the models have gotten a little more punchy with this system. several are keeping its vertical support (i.e. the core of the upper cutoff low) overhead longer, and pushing the thing further southwest over warmer waters. they tend to push it closer to the coast around midweek, and then let it wash out, upper westerlies ripping it up. whatever it does in the meantime will be a mite interesting. there's definitely some buzz about this thing, and most of the global models show it as a modest gale center. the end result one way or another will probably be that of a persistent late noreaster/perhaps tropical storm in southeast coastal waters, and maybe something for the folks in the coastal plain from north florida to north carolina if it decides to come much closer. has to act quick--this is an anomalous sort of synoptic feature that will not allow days and days for organization. it may look more possible than earlier, but anything in may is still quite a stretch. note there has not been a landfalling tropical cyclone in the u.s. in may since the 1970s, and those were subtropical.
on the side, it's a sad sight in greensburg, kansas. that may have been the first F-5 tornado in the u.s. in some years.
HF 2357z05may

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* The 2007 Season MikeCAdministrator Sat May 05 2007 07:03 PM
. * * Re: hybrid watch scottsvb   Mon May 07 2007 01:35 AM
. * * Re: hybrid watch lightsgo   Mon May 07 2007 01:26 AM
. * * Re: hybrid watch Lamar-Plant City   Sun May 06 2007 11:00 PM
. * * Re: hybrid watch nc_wx_watcher   Sun May 06 2007 10:45 PM
. * * Re: hybrid watch Hurricane29   Sun May 06 2007 10:43 PM
. * * Re: hybrid watch Lamar-Plant City   Sun May 06 2007 10:18 PM
. * * Re: hybrid watch Storm Hunter   Sun May 06 2007 10:05 PM
. * * Re: hybrid watch danielwAdministrator   Sun May 06 2007 09:46 PM
. * * Re: hybrid watch MikeCAdministrator   Sun May 06 2007 07:20 PM
. * * Re: hybrid watch h2ocean   Sun May 06 2007 05:50 PM
. * * Re: hybrid watch cieldumort   Sun May 06 2007 12:11 PM
. * * Re: hybrid watch scottsvb   Sun May 06 2007 01:16 AM
. * * hybrid watch HanKFranK   Sat May 05 2007 07:03 PM
. * * Re: coastal cutoff low Hurricane29   Sat May 05 2007 01:20 PM
. * * Re: coastal cutoff low cieldumort   Fri May 04 2007 09:48 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Season dem05   Fri May 04 2007 09:29 PM
. * * coastal cutoff low HanKFranK   Fri May 04 2007 06:10 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Season Margie   Fri May 04 2007 12:34 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Season Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu May 03 2007 11:30 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Season Margie   Thu May 03 2007 02:53 PM
. * * Re: gfs paranoia Bloodstar   Thu May 03 2007 02:45 PM
. * * Re: gfs paranoia ChessieStorm   Thu May 03 2007 09:43 AM
. * * Re: gfs paranoia Bloodstar   Wed May 02 2007 02:17 PM
. * * Re: gfs paranoia NewWatcher   Wed May 02 2007 09:11 AM
. * * gfs paranoia HanKFranK   Tue May 01 2007 08:04 PM

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