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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 300 (Idalia) , Major: 300 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 300 (Idalia) Major: 300 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

scottsvb
Weather Master


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Posts: 1184
Loc: fl
Re: hybrid watch
      Mon May 07 2007 01:35 AM

Still my forecast is on track below from early Sunday... so I reposted this!



Not for the first couple of days...On the models,.I will agree with the ECMWF,Nogaps,Ukmet and even some of the GFS.... At first the storm will be strong..but nontropical...a gale center....but as it slowly picks up some tropical characteristics...it will weaken...cause it wont be a non tropical system as its in transition....then as it comes close to Floridas NE coast and St Augustine...the LLC will seperate from the mid and upper low and be on its west side and get pushed sw between the mid and upper low now to its E and the weak ridge over the NE gulf of mexico. It will slide into florida and probably fizzle out. This is the atmospheric synopsis pattern setting up. This will bring mostly rain and breezy conditions...but still movement and strength of the LLC later in the period is still up in the air at this time.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* The 2007 Season MikeCAdministrator Mon May 07 2007 01:35 AM
. * * Re: hybrid watch scottsvb   Mon May 07 2007 01:35 AM
. * * Re: hybrid watch lightsgo   Mon May 07 2007 01:26 AM
. * * Re: hybrid watch Lamar-Plant City   Sun May 06 2007 11:00 PM
. * * Re: hybrid watch nc_wx_watcher   Sun May 06 2007 10:45 PM
. * * Re: hybrid watch Hurricane29   Sun May 06 2007 10:43 PM
. * * Re: hybrid watch Lamar-Plant City   Sun May 06 2007 10:18 PM
. * * Re: hybrid watch Storm Hunter   Sun May 06 2007 10:05 PM
. * * Re: hybrid watch danielwAdministrator   Sun May 06 2007 09:46 PM
. * * Re: hybrid watch MikeCAdministrator   Sun May 06 2007 07:20 PM
. * * Re: hybrid watch h2ocean   Sun May 06 2007 05:50 PM
. * * Re: hybrid watch cieldumort   Sun May 06 2007 12:11 PM
. * * Re: hybrid watch scottsvb   Sun May 06 2007 01:16 AM
. * * hybrid watch HanKFranK   Sat May 05 2007 07:03 PM
. * * Re: coastal cutoff low Hurricane29   Sat May 05 2007 01:20 PM
. * * Re: coastal cutoff low cieldumort   Fri May 04 2007 09:48 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Season dem05   Fri May 04 2007 09:29 PM
. * * coastal cutoff low HanKFranK   Fri May 04 2007 06:10 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Season Margie   Fri May 04 2007 12:34 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Season Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu May 03 2007 11:30 PM
. * * Re: The 2007 Season Margie   Thu May 03 2007 02:53 PM
. * * Re: gfs paranoia Bloodstar   Thu May 03 2007 02:45 PM
. * * Re: gfs paranoia ChessieStorm   Thu May 03 2007 09:43 AM
. * * Re: gfs paranoia Bloodstar   Wed May 02 2007 02:17 PM
. * * Re: gfs paranoia NewWatcher   Wed May 02 2007 09:11 AM
. * * gfs paranoia HanKFranK   Tue May 01 2007 08:04 PM

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