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#Beryl forms in the Central Atlantic and forecast to become a hurricane over the weekend, Hurricane and Tropical watches for some of the Windwards likely issued tomorrow.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 303 (Idalia) , Major: 303 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 303 (Idalia) Major: 303 (Idalia)
9.8N 45.5W
Wind: 50MPH
Pres: 1001mb
Moving:
W at 21 mph
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News Talkback >> 2007 News Talkbacks

NewWatcher
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 388
Loc: Port Orange, FL
Re: Nor'Easter Storm near North Carolina Headed Towards Florida
      Mon May 07 2007 09:03 AM

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

SW N ATLC...
WELL ADVERTISED STORM FORCE SYSTEM DEVELOPING N OF THE AREA WITH
ESTIMATED 998 MB SFC LOW...4 MB DEEPER THEN THE 6 HR FCST OF
THE GFS...NEAR 33.5N73W. BUOY 41001 E OF CAPE HATTERAS REPORTING
36 FT SEAS ATTM. COLD FRONT EXTENDING SW OF THE SYSTEM CURRENTLY
CUTTING ACROSS THE FCST AREA THROUGH 31N71W TO THE E-CENTRAL FL
COAST NEAR VERO BEACH AND IS USHERING IN GALES OVER THE NRN
PORTION OF THE FCST AREA...THOUGH GALES HAVE YET TO REACH BUOY
41010. SHORT TERM FCST OF THE UKMET WAVE MODEL HANDLING THE
ONSET OF THE HIGHER SEAS BETTER THAN THE SHORT TERM FCST OF THE
NWW3 AND WILL GO WITH THE UKMET WAVE MODEL IN THE FCST. AS FOR
THE TRACK OF THE STORM SYSTEM NWP MODELS SPLIT INTO 2 CAMPS WITH
THE NOGAPS/UKMET/ECMWF CARRYING THE LOW WSWWD ACROSS THE SW N
ATLC INTO E-CENTRAL FL BY 00Z THU...WHILE THE NAM/CMC/GFS TURN
THE SYSTEM NNWWD TOWARD THE CAROLINAS BY 00Z THU. WILL LEAN
TOWARD THE LATTER SUITE OF MODELS WHICH ESSENTIALLY MOVES THE
SYSTEM ALONG 31N AND THEREFORE KEEPS THE STRONGEST WINDS N OF
THE AREA. HOWEVER...A QUICK LOOK AT THE GFS 30M AND NAM 975 MB
WINDS SUGGESTS STORM FORCE WINDS MAY ROTATE AROUND THE SYSTEM
AND BRUSH THE FAR N PORTION OF THE AREA IN THE W QUADRANT OF THE
WWD MOVING LOW. BASED ON THIS WILL GO WITH A STORM WARNING FOR
THE FAR N PORTION OF THE AREA N OF 30N THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT WITH A STRONG GALE ELSEWHERE N OF 28N W OF 74W. WINDS
SLOWLY DECREASE TUE AS LOW MOVES TOWARD THE SE COAST. SLY GALES
CONTINUE FAR N PORTION OF THE AREA INTO WED AS WELL THEN SUBSIDE
THU INTO FRI. LATTER PORTION OF THE FCST IS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN AND
ALL BETS ARE OFF SHOULD THE LOW TRANSITION INTO A SUBTROPICAL
SYSTEM.

--------------------
Pam in Volusia County

According to Colleen A ... "I AM A HURRICANE FREAK"
2007 Predictions 16/9/6


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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Is the Offshore Storm Subtropical? MikeCAdministrator Mon May 07 2007 09:03 AM
. * * Re: interesting obs on smoke and the storm NewWatcher   Wed May 09 2007 10:47 AM
. * * interesting obs on smoke and the storm LoisCane   Wed May 09 2007 10:38 AM
. * * Re: It's trying, it really is.... ChessieStorm   Wed May 09 2007 10:27 AM
. * * Re: It's trying, it really is.... vineyardsaker   Wed May 09 2007 10:23 AM
. * * Re: It's trying, it really is.... AdrianInFlorida   Wed May 09 2007 10:19 AM
. * * Re: It's trying, it really is.... vineyardsaker   Wed May 09 2007 10:18 AM
. * * Re: It's trying, it really is.... ftlaudbob   Wed May 09 2007 10:17 AM
. * * Re: It's trying, it really is.... MadDog   Wed May 09 2007 10:06 AM
. * * Re: It's trying, it really is.... nl   Wed May 09 2007 10:02 AM
. * * Re: Is the Offshore Storm Subtropical? HCW   Wed May 09 2007 09:59 AM
. * * Re: It's trying, it really is.... vineyardsaker   Wed May 09 2007 09:55 AM
. * * ANDREA NewWatcher   Wed May 09 2007 09:53 AM
. * * Re: Is the Offshore Storm Subtropical? cieldumort   Wed May 09 2007 09:50 AM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Andrea Hurricane29   Wed May 09 2007 09:17 AM
. * * Re: Subtropical Storm Andrea allan   Wed May 09 2007 09:14 AM
. * * Subtropical Storm Andrea cieldumort   Wed May 09 2007 09:07 AM
. * * Re: It's trying, it really is.... cieldumort   Wed May 09 2007 08:45 AM
. * * Re: It's trying, it really is.... dem05   Wed May 09 2007 08:30 AM
. * * Re: It's trying, it really is.... Hugh   Wed May 09 2007 07:58 AM
. * * Re: It's trying, it really is.... MikeCAdministrator   Wed May 09 2007 07:17 AM
. * * Re: It's trying, it really is.... cieldumort   Wed May 09 2007 02:58 AM
. * * It's trying, it really is.... Bloodstar   Wed May 09 2007 02:22 AM
. * * Re: Is the Offshore Storm Subtropical? scottsvb   Wed May 09 2007 01:42 AM
. * * Re: Is the Offshore Storm Subtropical? cieldumort   Wed May 09 2007 01:11 AM
. * * Re: Is the Offshore Storm Subtropical? Clark   Wed May 09 2007 12:11 AM
. * * Re: subtropical storm andrea Bloodstar   Wed May 09 2007 12:10 AM
. * * Re: subtropical storm andrea BillD   Wed May 09 2007 12:04 AM
. * * Re: subtropical storm andrea dem05   Tue May 08 2007 11:47 PM
. * * Re: subtropical storm andrea Hugh   Tue May 08 2007 11:24 PM
. * * Re: subtropical storm andrea dem05   Tue May 08 2007 11:21 PM
. * * Re: subtropical storm andrea BillD   Tue May 08 2007 10:48 PM
. * * Re: subtropical storm andrea Doombot!   Tue May 08 2007 10:47 PM
. * * Re: subtropical storm andrea dem05   Tue May 08 2007 10:17 PM
. * * Re: could there be a storm surge from this system?! dem05   Tue May 08 2007 10:11 PM
. * * subtropical storm andrea HanKFranK   Tue May 08 2007 09:58 PM
. * * Re: could there be a storm surge from this system?! MikeCAdministrator   Tue May 08 2007 09:23 PM
. * * Re: could there be a storm surge from this system?! cieldumort   Tue May 08 2007 09:11 PM
. * * Re: could there be a storm surge from this system?! nc_wx_watcher   Tue May 08 2007 09:06 PM
. * * Re: could there be a storm surge from this system?! Hugh   Tue May 08 2007 06:45 PM
. * * Re: could there be a storm surge from this system?! nc_wx_watcher   Tue May 08 2007 06:43 PM
. * * Re: could there be a storm surge from this system?! Lamar-Plant City   Tue May 08 2007 06:19 PM
. * * Re: could there be a storm surge from this system?! vineyardsaker   Tue May 08 2007 06:11 PM
. * * Re: could there be a storm surge from this system?! vineyardsaker   Tue May 08 2007 06:05 PM
. * * Re: could there be a storm surge from this system?! Lamar-Plant City   Tue May 08 2007 06:03 PM
. * * Re: could there be a storm surge from this system?! Rich B   Tue May 08 2007 05:32 PM
. * * Re: could there be a storm surge from this system?! Ricreig   Tue May 08 2007 05:17 PM
. * * could there be a storm surge from this system?! vineyardsaker   Tue May 08 2007 05:09 PM
. * * Re: so i guess we sit and wait Ricreig   Tue May 08 2007 04:57 PM
. * * Re: so i guess we sit and wait Lamar-Plant City   Tue May 08 2007 04:43 PM
. * * Re: so i guess we sit and wait madmumbler   Tue May 08 2007 04:41 PM
. * * Re: so i guess we sit and wait cieldumort   Tue May 08 2007 04:33 PM
. * * so i guess we sit and wait LoisCane   Tue May 08 2007 04:26 PM
. * * Re: Is the Offshore Storm Subtropical? hurricaneguy   Tue May 08 2007 04:08 PM
. * * Re: Is the Offshore Storm Subtropical? hurricaneguy   Tue May 08 2007 04:02 PM
. * * Re: Is the Offshore Storm Subtropical? weather_wise911   Tue May 08 2007 04:01 PM
. * * Re: Is the Offshore Storm Subtropical? Hurricane29   Tue May 08 2007 03:48 PM
. * * Re: Is the Offshore Storm Subtropical? HCW   Tue May 08 2007 03:19 PM
. * * Re: Is the Offshore Storm Subtropical? MikeCAdministrator   Tue May 08 2007 02:54 PM
. * * Re: gale 90L rookie   Tue May 08 2007 02:44 PM
. * * Re: gale 90L Ricreig   Tue May 08 2007 02:41 PM
. * * Re: gale 90L madmumbler   Tue May 08 2007 02:38 PM
. * * Re: gale 90L rookie   Tue May 08 2007 02:36 PM
. * * Re: gale 90L madmumbler   Tue May 08 2007 02:36 PM
. * * Re: gale 90L Ed in Va   Tue May 08 2007 02:31 PM
. * * Re: gale 90L Hurricane29   Tue May 08 2007 02:13 PM
. * * Re: gale 90L MikeCAdministrator   Tue May 08 2007 02:02 PM
. * * Re: gale 90L Storm Hunter   Tue May 08 2007 01:10 PM
. * * Re: gale 90L rmbjoe1954   Tue May 08 2007 12:56 PM
. * * Re: gale 90L Rich B   Tue May 08 2007 12:45 PM
. * * Re: gale 90L Bloodstar   Tue May 08 2007 12:45 PM
. * * Re: gale 90L Storm Hunter   Tue May 08 2007 11:39 AM
. * * system has every name but subtropical, needs a name LoisCane   Tue May 08 2007 11:38 AM
. * * Re: gale 90L madmumbler   Tue May 08 2007 11:26 AM
. * * Re: gale 90L madmumbler   Tue May 08 2007 11:24 AM
. * * Re: gale 90L allan   Tue May 08 2007 10:26 AM
. * * Re: gale 90L Hootowl   Tue May 08 2007 09:38 AM
. * * Re: gale 90L rookie   Tue May 08 2007 09:30 AM
. * * Re: gale 90L allan   Tue May 08 2007 09:14 AM
. * * Re: gale 90L Hugh   Tue May 08 2007 08:05 AM
. * * Re: gale 90L HanKFranK   Tue May 08 2007 12:12 AM
. * * Re: gale 90L Lamar-Plant City   Mon May 07 2007 11:34 PM
. * * Re: gale 90L PutnamGator   Mon May 07 2007 10:57 PM
. * * Re: gale 90L Storm Hunter   Mon May 07 2007 10:52 PM
. * * Re: gale 90L HCW   Mon May 07 2007 10:45 PM
. * * Re: gale 90L ChessieStorm   Mon May 07 2007 10:31 PM
. * * Re: Nor'Easter Storm near North Carolina Headed Towards Florida dem05   Mon May 07 2007 10:23 PM
. * * Re: Nor'Easter Storm near North Carolina Headed Towards Florida obxadventurers   Mon May 07 2007 09:37 PM
. * * Re: gale 90L danielwAdministrator   Mon May 07 2007 09:34 PM
. * * Re: gale 90L Storm Hunter   Mon May 07 2007 09:32 PM
. * * Re: gale 90L dem05   Mon May 07 2007 09:26 PM
. * * Re: gale 90L Hugh   Mon May 07 2007 08:21 PM
. * * Re: gale 90L ChessieStorm   Mon May 07 2007 06:38 PM
. * * gale 90L HanKFranK   Mon May 07 2007 06:03 PM
. * * Re: Nor'Easter Storm near North Carolina Headed Towards Florida allan   Mon May 07 2007 05:27 PM
. * * Re: Nor'Easter Storm near North Carolina Headed Towards Florida vineyardsaker   Mon May 07 2007 05:18 PM
. * * two loops LoisCane   Mon May 07 2007 03:21 PM
. * * Re: Nor'Easter Storm near North Carolina Headed Towards Florida Hootowl   Mon May 07 2007 02:32 PM
. * * Re: Nor'Easter Storm near North Carolina Headed Towards Florida Lamar-Plant City   Mon May 07 2007 02:30 PM
. * * Re: Nor'Easter Storm near North Carolina Headed Towards Florida Storm Hunter   Mon May 07 2007 02:23 PM
. * * Re: Nor'Easter Storm near North Carolina Headed Towards Florida cyclone_head   Mon May 07 2007 02:12 PM
. * * Re: Nor'Easter Storm near North Carolina Headed Towards Florida Storm Hunter   Mon May 07 2007 01:56 PM
. * * Re: Nor'Easter Storm near North Carolina Headed Towards Florida cyclone_head   Mon May 07 2007 01:53 PM
. * * Re: Nor'Easter Storm near North Carolina Headed Towards Florida cyclone_head   Mon May 07 2007 01:38 PM
. * * Re: Is there a chance it could become a subtropical? Lamar-Plant City   Mon May 07 2007 12:38 PM
. * * Re: Is there a chance it could become a subtropical? vineyardsaker   Mon May 07 2007 12:29 PM
. * * Re: Is there a chance it could become a subtropical? StormHound   Mon May 07 2007 12:07 PM
. * * Is there a chance it could become a subtropical? LoisCane   Mon May 07 2007 11:32 AM
. * * Re: Nor'Easter Storm near North Carolina Headed Towards Florida Lamar-Plant City   Mon May 07 2007 11:01 AM
. * * Re: Nor'Easter Storm near North Carolina Headed Towards Florida AdrianInFlorida   Mon May 07 2007 10:22 AM
. * * Re: Nor'Easter Storm near North Carolina Headed Towards Florida vineyardsaker   Mon May 07 2007 09:34 AM
. * * Re: Nor'Easter Storm near North Carolina Headed Towards Florida NewWatcher   Mon May 07 2007 09:03 AM
. * * Re: Nor'Easter Storm near North Carolina Headed Towards Florida HCW   Mon May 07 2007 08:30 AM
. * * Re: Nor'Easter Storm near North Carolina Headed Towards Florida AdrianInFlorida   Mon May 07 2007 08:23 AM
. * * Re: Nor'Easter Storm near North Carolina Headed Towards Florida Rich B   Mon May 07 2007 07:59 AM

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